Gulfstream, Friday 1/8 - 6 furlongs 4+ F, 10K claimers - Pace and Cap

Bill Lyster · 01-07-2010, 09:46 PM

Here is the field. I have chosen my lines already so try not to be swayed during your analysis. 13 horse field before scratches

Bill Lyster · 01-07-2010, 09:48 PM

more...

Bill Lyster · 01-07-2010, 09:49 PM

11-13

Bill Lyster · 01-07-2010, 10:02 PM

Lots of cheap speed in here, some coming off layoffs, but mostly speed that stops. So thattakes care of 1-3-7-8. So by my count there are 4 to 5 that can't pass anyone, so the winner should be OTE and run from 4th thru 6th position. It looks like the early by committe group will set fractions of about 23.6 and 47.5. As slow as that seems not too many have run successfully against those fractions.

The 4, 9-10-11-12 are slow and for the most part could clog up the path of the closers.

The 2 and 13 are at best, early pressers or may be part of the collapsing pace situation. The two has consistent EP's but lacks enuf punch IMO. The 13 can track the first fraction but loses ground thereafter, so he's out.

Leavin the 5 and the 6. For 5 I used its maiden win. For 6 he has done well off similar layoffs 40-60 days and the internal matchup shows the six to be stronger.

6 to win and no clue on the place front. (So Far).

Good Luck tomorrow.

mikesal57 · 01-08-2010, 08:54 AM

nice going bill with 2 races on my last day of freedom...work tomorrow

mike

OH...btw...I have more snow to get rid of...

PeteC · 01-08-2010, 12:06 PM

Not much time here so I'll skip most of the early analysis. I like this race OTE too with #5 my top pick over the 6. Good luck guys!

Bill Lyster · 01-08-2010, 12:35 PM

scratch the 5.

mikesal57 · 01-08-2010, 12:47 PM

I'll take the #3

Like it was posted..cheap horses
most won md 12500 claimers...

at least the 3 won a md40...and most of the races after was over his head...working well at GP also

gl

mike

mikesal57 · 01-08-2010, 02:09 PM

watching the walk up to the track the 7 & 4 looked good..for all you guys that like watching horses body language

mikesal57 · 01-08-2010, 02:15 PM

there goes those 2 races for me

nice going Bill and Pete

01-07-2010, 09:46 PM	#1
Bill Lyster Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar" Posts: 2,418	Gulfstream, Friday 1/8 - 6 furlongs 4+ F, 10K claimers Here is the field. I have chosen my lines already so try not to be swayed during your analysis. 13 horse field before scratches Attached Images

01-07-2010, 09:48 PM	#2
Bill Lyster Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar" Posts: 2,418	entrants 6-10 more... Attached Images

01-07-2010, 10:02 PM	#4
Bill Lyster Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar" Posts: 2,418	My analysis Lots of cheap speed in here, some coming off layoffs, but mostly speed that stops. So thattakes care of 1-3-7-8. So by my count there are 4 to 5 that can't pass anyone, so the winner should be OTE and run from 4th thru 6th position. It looks like the early by committe group will set fractions of about 23.6 and 47.5. As slow as that seems not too many have run successfully against those fractions. The 4, 9-10-11-12 are slow and for the most part could clog up the path of the closers. The 2 and 13 are at best, early pressers or may be part of the collapsing pace situation. The two has consistent EP's but lacks enuf punch IMO. The 13 can track the first fraction but loses ground thereafter, so he's out. Leavin the 5 and the 6. For 5 I used its maiden win. For 6 he has done well off similar layoffs 40-60 days and the internal matchup shows the six to be stronger. 6 to win and no clue on the place front. (So Far). Good Luck tomorrow.

01-08-2010, 12:47 PM	#8
mikesal57 Grade 1 Join Date: May 2008 Location: Staten Island, NY Posts: 3,952	I'll take the #3 Like it was posted..cheap horses most won md 12500 claimers... at least the 3 won a md40...and most of the races after was over his head...working well at GP also gl mike __________________ Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack

01-08-2010, 02:09 PM	#9
mikesal57 Grade 1 Join Date: May 2008 Location: Staten Island, NY Posts: 3,952	watching the walk up to the track the 7 & 4 looked good..for all you guys that like watching horses body language __________________ Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack

01-07-2010, 09:49 PM	#3
Bill Lyster Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar" Posts: 2,418	The last three 11-13 Attached Images

01-08-2010, 08:54 AM	#5
mikesal57 Grade 1 Join Date: May 2008 Location: Staten Island, NY Posts: 3,952	nice going bill with 2 races on my last day of freedom...work tomorrow mike OH...btw...I have more snow to get rid of... __________________ Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack

01-08-2010, 12:06 PM	#6
PeteC Grade 1 Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 611	Not much time here so I'll skip most of the early analysis. I like this race OTE too with #5 my top pick over the 6. Good luck guys!

01-08-2010, 12:35 PM	#7
Bill Lyster Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar" Posts: 2,418	scratch the 5.

01-08-2010, 02:15 PM	#10
mikesal57 Grade 1 Join Date: May 2008 Location: Staten Island, NY Posts: 3,952	there goes those 2 races for me nice going Bill and Pete __________________ Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack

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