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Hat Check - How Can We Help You? Jim 'The Hat' Bradshaw - Learn The Matchup

 
 
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Old 08-22-2006, 03:50 PM   #1
RichieP
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Wow!

This is a race from Calder on Saturday that I lost.

I lost my win bet. I had the horse that placed at 18/1.

Jim worked the race with me afterwards and he showed me something that I HAVE to share here with you ok?

It is so far out of the realm of conventional capping it's ridiculous man. I called him up and asked if it was ok to post the race and try to explain what he showed me. He said " go ahead Rich".

I promise I will do my best to explain this concept. THIS is one of those things he does that can't be explained and people then label with a creative name like " voodoo" or " witchcraft".

I am going to show the pp's for every horse in the race right after supper and then lay it out.

This ain't voodoo man. It's the Matchup. I LOVE this.
Richie
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Old 08-22-2006, 05:23 PM   #2
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Calder Saturday 8/19 Race 12

Here are the race conditions and distance. Also the pp's for the 1 horse
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Old 08-22-2006, 05:24 PM   #3
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the 2 horse
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Old 08-22-2006, 05:25 PM   #4
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the 3 horse
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Old 08-22-2006, 05:26 PM   #5
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the 4 horse
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Old 08-22-2006, 05:27 PM   #6
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the 5 horse
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Old 08-22-2006, 05:28 PM   #7
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the 6 horse
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Old 08-22-2006, 05:29 PM   #8
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the 7 horse
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Old 08-22-2006, 05:30 PM   #9
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the 8 horse
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Old 08-22-2006, 05:37 PM   #10
RichieP
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starting off we scroll the horses and isentify running styles. To me there are 2of them.

1 horse - line 4 - 22.1 - 45.1 - 111.0 ( from the Meadowlands, a faster surface than Calder)

4 horse - line 2 - 22.4 - 46.0 - 112.4 - 127.4 - ( Today's track and distance)

I know that the Meadowlands line is faster BUT feel the 1 is definitely gonna be the lead horse today. The gap between him and the 4 at the 1c - 2c and STRETCH call are too great in my mind.

The 1 is the lead horse ( although NOT sure HOW fast the race will go. HONESTLY). I do NOT refer to track records, par time charts etc etc. Gotta go by "feel" and what my mind is telling me. ok

the 4 is now history and removed from consideration.
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