Match with "The Hat" at Saratoga - Page 4 - Pace and Cap

RichieP · 07-30-2007, 04:08 PM

Tandems for the race

RichieP · 07-30-2007, 04:22 PM

My workup of Saratoga's 4th race:

There is no real early horse here. A couple have tried for the lead but nobody consistently so I am looking OTE for the winner here.

1- slow horse - Out
3- slow horse - Out
4- one of 3 horses who have won against 1:11 2c pace on the turf. These are the fastest horses in the race.In
5- slow horse - Out
6- slow horse - Out
8- slow horse - Out
9- 2nd of 3 horses who have won against 1:11 2c pace. In
11- 3rd horse who has won against 1:11 2c pace. In
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
ok 2 of the 3 contenders (4 and 9) have raced at Gp. They have what I call "common ground" so I match them and the 9 kills off the 4.
4- Killed off by the matchup with the 9 - Out
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
That leaves 2 contenders which have no "common ground" for me to match.
Negative feeling for me for sure.

Additionally the line for the 11 is on an off turf plus the 9 might go for the lead today which I feel will hurt her as she might be out of position.

No confidence in reducing to 1 horse here.Would just be guessing
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Passsing the race as I can not reduce to 1 horse confidently.

emilio840 · 07-30-2007, 04:27 PM

FTS = #1,2,6

Pace of the race should be 22 45 110

This race should run Early. Maybe the 5 might take the lead at the first call but thats as far as #5 would go.

#3 in
#4 in
#7 in
#8 Slow out
#9 in

In this field I don't see any horse that can compete with #4.

emilio

RichieP · 07-30-2007, 05:24 PM

Here is race 6 at 8.5f on the Inner Turf. Here is the field.

Horse 1

RichieP · 07-30-2007, 05:25 PM

Horse 2

RichieP · 07-30-2007, 05:25 PM

Horse 3

RichieP · 07-30-2007, 05:26 PM

Horse 4

RichieP · 07-30-2007, 05:26 PM

Horse 5

RichieP · 07-30-2007, 05:27 PM

Horse 6

RichieP · 07-30-2007, 05:27 PM

Horse 8

07-30-2007, 04:08 PM	#31
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	YOU match the race - Saratoga race 4 Tandems for the race Attached Images __________________ "Grampy I'm talking to you!"

07-30-2007, 04:22 PM	#32
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	YOU match the race - Saratoga race 4 My workup of Saratoga's 4th race: There is no real early horse here. A couple have tried for the lead but nobody consistently so I am looking OTE for the winner here. 1- slow horse - Out 3- slow horse - Out 4- one of 3 horses who have won against 1:11 2c pace on the turf. These are the fastest horses in the race.In 5- slow horse - Out 6- slow horse - Out 8- slow horse - Out 9- 2nd of 3 horses who have won against 1:11 2c pace. In 11- 3rd horse who has won against 1:11 2c pace. In -------------------------------------------------------------------------- ok 2 of the 3 contenders (4 and 9) have raced at Gp. They have what I call "common ground" so I match them and the 9 kills off the 4. 4- Killed off by the matchup with the 9 - Out ------------------------------------------------------------------------- That leaves 2 contenders which have no "common ground" for me to match. Negative feeling for me for sure. Additionally the line for the 11 is on an off turf plus the 9 might go for the lead today which I feel will hurt her as she might be out of position. No confidence in reducing to 1 horse here.Would just be guessing ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Passsing the race as I can not reduce to 1 horse confidently. Attached Images __________________ "Grampy I'm talking to you!"

07-30-2007, 04:27 PM	#33
emilio840 Grade 1 Join Date: Oct 2005 Location: I live in Toronto, Ontario, can Posts: 220	Race #2 FTS = #1,2,6 Pace of the race should be 22 45 110 This race should run Early. Maybe the 5 might take the lead at the first call but thats as far as #5 would go. #3 in #4 in #7 in #8 Slow out #9 in In this field I don't see any horse that can compete with #4. emilio

07-30-2007, 05:24 PM	#34
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	YOU match the race - Saratoga race 6 Here is race 6 at 8.5f on the Inner Turf. Here is the field. Horse 1 Attached Images __________________ "Grampy I'm talking to you!"

07-30-2007, 05:25 PM	#35
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	YOU match the race - Saratoga race 6 Horse 2 Attached Images __________________ "Grampy I'm talking to you!"

07-30-2007, 05:26 PM	#37
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	YOU match the race - Saratoga race 6 Horse 4 Attached Images __________________ "Grampy I'm talking to you!"

07-30-2007, 05:27 PM	#39
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	YOU match the race - Saratoga race 6 Horse 6 Attached Images __________________ "Grampy I'm talking to you!"

Similar Threads
Thread	Thread Starter	Forum	Replies	Last Post
Straight talk from " The Hat" - "Secret" to upping WIN % by 10 points	RichieP	Hat Check - How Can We Help You?	17	10-09-2007 05:00 PM
Updated "The Match-Up" book?	Jonathan Steele	Matchup Discussion	77	03-03-2007 06:28 PM
Applying Jim's "Projecting Pace" with Current software	RichieP	Speculator	50	05-23-2006 02:19 PM
Computer generated " ESP" / Race Shapes/ Power Plays	RichieP	Previous 'Handicapping Discussion' Forum	9	04-02-2006 08:07 PM