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Search took 0.04 seconds. Search: Posts Made By: Bill Lyster
Forum: General Discussion 07-13-2026, 02:34 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 1,088
Posted By Bill Lyster
Thanks for the info:

Thanks for the info:
Forum: General Discussion 07-11-2026, 11:47 AM
Replies: 14
Views: 1,088
Posted By Bill Lyster
and in Primary factors </+ 20, 15, 10. I am...

and in Primary factors </+ 20, 15, 10. I am pretty sure I understand the values in the CBL sections as lengths back, but at what Call - 1C, 2C or Final
Forum: General Discussion 07-11-2026, 11:46 AM
Replies: 14
Views: 1,088
Posted By Bill Lyster
for some reason the last part of my post was...

for some reason the last part of my post was missing.

...</+ 20, 15, 10. I am pretty sure I understand the values in the CBL sections as lengths back, but at what Call - 1C, 2C or Final
Forum: General Discussion 07-11-2026, 11:34 AM
Replies: 14
Views: 1,088
Posted By Bill Lyster
Jim: Three quick questions on followup: ...

Jim:

Three quick questions on followup:

1. What are your settings;
2. Are the pacelines chosen yours or best of last three perceptor, or other
3. At the top of the Primary factor columns ...
Forum: General Discussion 07-10-2026, 03:16 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 1,088
Posted By Bill Lyster
Jim: Great work on the models. Looking ...

Jim:

Great work on the models. Looking forward to reviewing all the great data that you provided.

Bill
Forum: Races of Interest 05-25-2026, 01:55 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 5,212
Posted By Bill Lyster
Hey Tim, can you send me your email. Thought I...

Hey Tim, can you send me your email. Thought I had it, but didnt. I queried the data base for lengths lost between 1c and 2c. You will like what I found.

blyster@att.net

Happy Memorial Day
Forum: Selections 05-02-2026, 03:15 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 3,090
Posted By Bill Lyster
My top three since the start have been 1-8-18,...

My top three since the start have been 1-8-18, but the 17 looks decent at 30+/1.

I ran some info from the 11 races I had.

The 1 was best CSR, 4th best TE, 2nd RX3 and in the POR screen 5th....
Forum: Selections 04-30-2026, 06:07 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 3,090
Posted By Bill Lyster
Dan, I have Derby full day cards from...

Dan,

I have Derby full day cards from 2026-2015, 2010 and 2009.

Missing 2011-2014 and anything before 2009. Its a start. Maybe others can fill in the blanks.
Forum: Races of Interest 04-30-2026, 04:01 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 3,635
Posted By Bill Lyster
So there goes one good idea. At least it saves...

So there goes one good idea. At least it saves money for the rest.

Thanks for the info.

Bill
Forum: Selections 04-30-2026, 11:04 AM
Replies: 3
Views: 1,155
Posted By Bill Lyster
No, got all races that opened up Wednesday a.m.

No, got all races that opened up Wednesday a.m.
Forum: Races of Interest 04-29-2026, 06:17 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 3,635
Posted By Bill Lyster
How a poly race was used to hide improved performance

55605

This is from the 2023 Derby where Two Phils showed a great improvement in his poly race, ran the best race of its PPs and had some really nice works leading up to the race.

You can see it...
Forum: Races of Interest 04-28-2026, 11:17 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 3,635
Posted By Bill Lyster
Richie, Good hearing from you. Thanks for...

Richie,

Good hearing from you. Thanks for the reminder on Power MOves.

Hope all is well Grandpa!!!
Forum: Races of Interest 04-27-2026, 07:47 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 3,635
Posted By Bill Lyster
You might get in trouble using the average mile...

You might get in trouble using the average mile time. You should assess all entrant's mile times and positions for Saturday's race in case this lot of three year olds is really fast or really slow. ...
Forum: Races of Interest 04-27-2026, 07:12 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 3,635
Posted By Bill Lyster
The chart was from Churchill Downs the day when...

The chart was from Churchill Downs the day when no spectators were allowed.
9/5/20.

Authentic was the winner

My data was from only horses that had won or placed in Grade 1 or grade 2 races, no...
Forum: Races of Interest 04-27-2026, 05:14 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 3,635
Posted By Bill Lyster
Kentucky Derby last 11 runnings - The Marathon Method

The Hat said that any race over 10 furlongs and especially the Derby is won by the horse who ran against the best mile time (in races over one mile) and was closest to or on the lead at that point. ...
Forum: Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 04-21-2026, 06:10 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 4,918
Posted By Bill Lyster
Tim, as it relates to the energy screen, there...

Tim, as it relates to the energy screen, there are six columns of information. Do I assume correctly you meant the E/ep, L/ep and TPR columns? AND did you mean to say that you would keep any horse...
Forum: General Discussion 03-27-2026, 01:05 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 2,092
Posted By Bill Lyster
Happy Birthday Dick, Always good to talk...

Happy Birthday Dick,

Always good to talk with you. Thanks for sharing all of your insights.

Regards,

Bill
Forum: General Discussion 01-23-2026, 06:11 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 1,518
Posted By Bill Lyster
55336[/QUOTE] So far the study shows the...

55336[/QUOTE]

So far the study shows the power of CSR rankings.
The top 3 CSR horses won 63.3% of the races;
The top 4 CSR horses won 77.3% of the races; and
The top 5 CSR horses won 84.9% of...
Forum: General Discussion 01-22-2026, 05:13 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 1,518
Posted By Bill Lyster
These attachments go with the previous post. ...

These attachments go with the previous post.

55335

55336
Forum: General Discussion 01-22-2026, 04:43 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 1,518
Posted By Bill Lyster
How new pace can point you at exactas and other things

Dick Werpy planted this seed about 10 days ago so I ran with it.

I have a 269 race sample of races from PRX, MVR, FG, GP, TAM, SA and DMR, usually running more than one or more days consecutively....
Forum: General Discussion 12-26-2025, 10:16 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 934
Posted By Bill Lyster
Merry Christmas all, Santa Anita has a...

Merry Christmas all,

Santa Anita has a delayed opening day due to weather. It starts with a great card on Sunday the 28th.

Bill
Forum: Selections 11-06-2025, 07:58 PM
Replies: 55
Views: 4,080
Posted By Bill Lyster
You might have noticed that all the races I...

You might have noticed that all the races I summarized were routes. The US horses do better in the turf sprints and the overall stats are about equal for US and Euros in those turf sprints.

NOTE:...
Forum: Selections 11-06-2025, 07:56 PM
Replies: 55
Views: 4,080
Posted By Bill Lyster
BC card, race 12

Race 12,

55091
The second highest Euro was the winner Gezora, the top 4 horses were Euros;


55092
The place horse from the US was best US horse with adjusted speed rating. the show and 4th...
Forum: Selections 11-06-2025, 07:49 PM
Replies: 55
Views: 4,080
Posted By Bill Lyster
BC card, Saturuday, RAce 10

Race 10:
55089
Notable Speech won, had the best TM rating by 3 pts. The show horse, the 4 was second highest and finished 3rd, US horse placed.

55090

The winner was top rated from his...
Forum: Selections 11-06-2025, 07:42 PM
Replies: 55
Views: 4,080
Posted By Bill Lyster
BC CARD, Saturday race

Saturday, BC Card, race 8
Won by an English steeplechaser, but place, show and 4th horses were also Euros. US horses got shut out.

Rebels Romance also had US adjusted ratings, but won two BC...
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