Help - Pace and Cap

zavimx · 05-08-2021, 02:47 PM

Hi, I have only had the software a few days but I have watched several tutorials and the Sartin lectures twice weeks before I got the software. I don't seem to be getting a handle on handicapping with the software. I am familiar with Sartin methods and The Hat from the past and I have made TPR ratings for years.In Belmont race 1, 5/08/2021 I bet the 2 and the 6 to win and they ran 2nd and third . I don't expect to win every race but I see a few people here wining a larger percent betting 2 horses to win. Any thing that can help me would be appreciated. Thanks

Lt1 · 05-08-2021, 03:08 PM

Hi Zav. What exactly are you asking for help with?. I'm working the Bel card for record keeping purposes and the winner #3 didn't come up for me either.
Tim

zavimx · 05-08-2021, 03:17 PM

I would like to know some tools or methods or looking at screens to make the best possible selections so in the long term I see a profit. I think I am making good decisions but my ROI so far says no.

Lt1 · 05-08-2021, 03:26 PM

Ok how are your contender and paceline selection doing? Do you have the winner in your top 5 most times[90% would a good %]. If not you need to go back and start there. Nothing else matters if you don't have the winner in your contender mix. I[as weel as some other proven winners] use the the top 5 ranked Profit Line and Bris Prime Power horses as my contenders. Also take a look at any horse that won its' last race if not in that group. This will get you the winner in the mix the desired 90% of the time. Noting gets 100%.
Tim

zavimx · 05-08-2021, 04:09 PM

Hi LT,

Thanks for the help. No I don't have the winner in that group 90% of the time and when I do I'm betting the horse or horses that don't win.

Lt1 · 05-08-2021, 05:10 PM

Ok back to the drawing board. Start right now working on getting the winner in the mix. Stop betting for now until you get the winner in the top 5 most of the time. Even if you hit 80-85% level you will be on the way. I've given you a proven contender selection method but feel free to use what ever you wish. Good luck. You can send me a p.m. anytime.
TIM

zavimx · 05-08-2021, 07:30 PM

Thanks Lt will do...

05-08-2021, 02:47 PM	#1
zavimx AlwNW2X Join Date: May 2021 Posts: 27	Help Hi, I have only had the software a few days but I have watched several tutorials and the Sartin lectures twice weeks before I got the software. I don't seem to be getting a handle on handicapping with the software. I am familiar with Sartin methods and The Hat from the past and I have made TPR ratings for years.In Belmont race 1, 5/08/2021 I bet the 2 and the 6 to win and they ran 2nd and third . I don't expect to win every race but I see a few people here wining a larger percent betting 2 horses to win. Any thing that can help me would be appreciated. Thanks

05-08-2021, 03:08 PM	#2
Lt1 Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2012 Location: Valley Stream NY Posts: 11,515	Hi Zav. What exactly are you asking for help with?. I'm working the Bel card for record keeping purposes and the winner #3 didn't come up for me either. Tim __________________ Trust but verify

05-08-2021, 03:26 PM	#4
Lt1 Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2012 Location: Valley Stream NY Posts: 11,515	Ok how are your contender and paceline selection doing? Do you have the winner in your top 5 most times[90% would a good %]. If not you need to go back and start there. Nothing else matters if you don't have the winner in your contender mix. I[as weel as some other proven winners] use the the top 5 ranked Profit Line and Bris Prime Power horses as my contenders. Also take a look at any horse that won its' last race if not in that group. This will get you the winner in the mix the desired 90% of the time. Noting gets 100%. Tim __________________ Trust but verify

05-08-2021, 04:09 PM	#5
zavimx AlwNW2X Join Date: May 2021 Posts: 27	Hi LT, Thanks for the help. No I don't have the winner in that group 90% of the time and when I do I'm betting the horse or horses that don't win. Last edited by zavimx; 05-08-2021 at 04:19 PM. Reason: spelling

05-08-2021, 05:10 PM	#6
Lt1 Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2012 Location: Valley Stream NY Posts: 11,515	Ok back to the drawing board. Start right now working on getting the winner in the mix. Stop betting for now until you get the winner in the top 5 most of the time. Even if you hit 80-85% level you will be on the way. I've given you a proven contender selection method but feel free to use what ever you wish. Good luck. You can send me a p.m. anytime. TIM __________________ Trust but verify

05-08-2021, 03:17 PM	#3
zavimx AlwNW2X Join Date: May 2021 Posts: 27	Thanks LT I would like to know some tools or methods or looking at screens to make the best possible selections so in the long term I see a profit. I think I am making good decisions but my ROI so far says no.

05-08-2021, 07:30 PM	#7
zavimx AlwNW2X Join Date: May 2021 Posts: 27	Thanks Lt will do...