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Old 06-15-2009, 08:03 AM   #1
RichieP
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Mountaineer "Ugly race"

This was last night's 6th at Mountaineer.Talk about a horror show of really "bad" horses. They even made a horse 2/5 on the ml!! Mmm a giant like that certainly should be right up on top of the pile right?? Let's see.

Lets see the entire pps for the field and I will leave the middle tab on "primary" so I can see the lines best liked by the software.

You will see my lines used check marked. Simple best of last 3 comparable as I saw it.

First the race conditions, entries and Apv/CR
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Old 06-15-2009, 08:06 AM   #2
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the field with lines chosen by perceptor on middle tab
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Old 06-15-2009, 08:08 AM   #3
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Old 06-15-2009, 08:12 AM   #4
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Here is the Bl/Bl with all our contenders/lines.

The giant of a ml fav is ranked FOURTH as the #1 early horse with virtually no other corollary support. Mmmm

2 BOMBS take up the top 2 tiers in the #5 and #7 and looking across they own almost ALL the corollaries from Primary to Supplemental to Fractal reads. They went off at 18/1 and 15/1 respectively
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Old 06-15-2009, 08:17 AM   #5
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Now I removed the bottom 2 guys showing on the previous Bl/bl screen shot.

This gets us to our 5 contenders. Here is what things look like now.

#5 and #7 have nice gap advantage over the 3rd ranked guy who happens to be that 2/5 alleged giant.

Some wagercappers might consider this a "nice situation"
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Old 06-15-2009, 08:22 AM   #6
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Result

I called this an ugly race in the thread opener cause it was. Looking at the pps of these bucks hopefully bears that out.

Here is the result chart and look at that. The 2/5 shot ran third just like the reads had him!!!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SFfiY...eature=related
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Old 06-15-2009, 11:00 AM   #7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RichieP View Post

You will see my lines used check marked. Simple best of last 3 comparable as I saw it.

First the race conditions, entries and Apv/CR
Richie, regardless of the outcome of the race, my question is about the line selection. Using simple best of last three, shouldn't distance/surface be a part of that? And if, yes, wouldn't the line for the 2 horse have been line #3 since that line is from the same distance as last nights race? And finally, if line #3 is used, how does the race shape up?
Thanks
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Old 06-16-2009, 09:14 AM   #8
RichieP
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Originally Posted by For The Lead View Post
Richie, regardless of the outcome of the race, my question is about the line selection. Using simple best of last three, shouldn't distance/surface be a part of that? And if, yes, wouldn't the line for the 2 horse have been line #3 since that line is from the same distance as last nights race? And finally, if line #3 is used, how does the race shape up?
Thanks
Morning "Ftl"

ok here is the race substituting line 3 for the #2
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Old 06-16-2009, 09:20 AM   #9
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Now here is the race using best of last 3 routes using best perceptor as line selector.

Every horse entered and lookie here

The exacta for over a GRAND (as in a thousand dollars!)is in top 3 tiers of Bl/Bl

Mmmmm ain't that a kicker ha

check it out
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Old 06-16-2009, 10:25 AM   #10
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Morning "Ftl"

ok here is the race substituting line 3 for the #2
Thanks Richie.
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