Mon 7Dec FG_R2 - Pace and Cap

seattlesnake · 12-07-2009, 03:26 PM

Here's a good bet against in the 2nd at FG....
Fast Track....Off Turf Conditions...

Attachment 18390

Will be challenged in the EPR dept. and projecting to back off the big effort in last...and as the fav...hope to run out of the money...

Below the TPR and BL/BL readout with the bet against...#8-Pretty
Attachment 18391

here is the BL readout if you care to hide #8-Pretty

Attachment 18392

Use top 2 as win bets... use also in your horizontal bets as keys and i would use the top3 on my vertical bets in the pick3 and pick4 ....

Attachment 18393

Good luck..

Jess

seattlesnake · 12-07-2009, 03:53 PM

This loss will put us closer to our next win...

Right Read ...negative result... fav. 2/5 and we were getting 5/1, 11/1, 7/1...

Attachment 18394

Anybody find these similar situations...please dont hesitate to post...

chris · 12-07-2009, 06:21 PM

Turf route race moved to the dirt; only two or three horses with any demonstrated dirt ability. Recency was a question with many of these. I percieved the favorite as dubious! Five year-old mare moving from a 20k claiming win to a preleminary Non-Winners of one other than....

A sprinter, off since June, caught my eye. The track is moving to muddy/sloppy, and this filly had acceptable off track form. I bet two horses, $2.00 each - don't take these races seriously - usually stay away from off tracks - but I hadn't made any bets for the day and my eye kept returning to this three-old filly. She was the right age for this condition, and had been racing in allowance condtions since breaking her Maiden. So I overlooked the her lack of recency. Had no idea how she would have measured up using RDSS, the program I usually use, but was relunctant to apply numbers because of the off-track and having so many turf horses entered.

Sometimes your intuition will guide you to the best decision. I make no apologies for the $4.00 investment, agreed, not a princely sum, but it fits my style of play; bet a little to win a lot.

12353959077037 FG #6 $2 Win 5,9 $ 4.00 $ 56.20 + $ 52.20

Regards,
Chris

seattlesnake · 12-07-2009, 10:53 PM

Nice 1.... Roi will always compute the same whether its $2 or $200...keep it up..

FG's will be having Monday racing till the end of their meet and its usually a slow race day so it will be one of the tracks i will keep a close eye on.

Good Luck..

Jess

12-07-2009, 03:26 PM	#1
seattlesnake Grade 1 Join Date: May 2009 Location: Las Vegas Posts: 304	Mon 7Dec FG_R2 Here's a good bet against in the 2nd at FG.... Fast Track....Off Turf Conditions... Attachment 18390 Will be challenged in the EPR dept. and projecting to back off the big effort in last...and as the fav...hope to run out of the money... Below the TPR and BL/BL readout with the bet against...#8-Pretty Attachment 18391 here is the BL readout if you care to hide #8-Pretty Attachment 18392 Use top 2 as win bets... use also in your horizontal bets as keys and i would use the top3 on my vertical bets in the pick3 and pick4 .... Attachment 18393 Good luck.. Jess Last edited by seattlesnake; 08-06-2010 at 12:42 PM.

12-07-2009, 03:53 PM	#2
seattlesnake Grade 1 Join Date: May 2009 Location: Las Vegas Posts: 304	Oh Well....guess he did not regress.... This loss will put us closer to our next win... Right Read ...negative result... fav. 2/5 and we were getting 5/1, 11/1, 7/1... Attachment 18394 Anybody find these similar situations...please dont hesitate to post... Last edited by seattlesnake; 08-06-2010 at 12:42 PM.

12-07-2009, 06:21 PM	#3
chris Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Richfield, MN Posts: 182	FG 6th race; a different approach Turf route race moved to the dirt; only two or three horses with any demonstrated dirt ability. Recency was a question with many of these. I percieved the favorite as dubious! Five year-old mare moving from a 20k claiming win to a preleminary Non-Winners of one other than.... A sprinter, off since June, caught my eye. The track is moving to muddy/sloppy, and this filly had acceptable off track form. I bet two horses, $2.00 each - don't take these races seriously - usually stay away from off tracks - but I hadn't made any bets for the day and my eye kept returning to this three-old filly. She was the right age for this condition, and had been racing in allowance condtions since breaking her Maiden. So I overlooked the her lack of recency. Had no idea how she would have measured up using RDSS, the program I usually use, but was relunctant to apply numbers because of the off-track and having so many turf horses entered. Sometimes your intuition will guide you to the best decision. I make no apologies for the $4.00 investment, agreed, not a princely sum, but it fits my style of play; bet a little to win a lot. 12353959077037 FG #6 $2 Win 5,9 $ 4.00 $ 56.20 + $ 52.20 Regards, Chris

12-07-2009, 10:53 PM	#4
seattlesnake Grade 1 Join Date: May 2009 Location: Las Vegas Posts: 304	Good Get Chris Nice 1.... Roi will always compute the same whether its $2 or $200...keep it up.. FG's will be having Monday racing till the end of their meet and its usually a slow race day so it will be one of the tracks i will keep a close eye on. Good Luck.. Jess