How Would You Match Up This Race

[Turbulator]

This race goes off in about 4 hours. Assuming I've picked the correct pace lines (and that's a big if), how do you match them up?

The pacelines for the 1,2 and 7 are a tandem. There are other tandems as well, but I think this is the main one.

The six broke his maiden in his last race--the paceline race.
The paceline for the 3 his is maiden win 3 back. His last two races were up the track at 12.5 and 7.5.

1. Will the three shake off the 1 and wire the race?
2. Do you toss the 2 and the 4 as being too slow?
3. Do you toss the 8 for coming from too far back?
3. If yes, how do you decide between the 6 and the 7?
4. Do you toss the 3 and 5 because their best races were
maiden claiming wins?
4. Do you need more information?

I thought this was a tough one. Races like this confuse me.

Who do you think will win and why?