Dmr r6 8/13

[SilentRun]

Another sprint race which demonstrates the significance of F1, E/EP, EPR, E/L,
SC and TT. I give more weight to F1, E/EP, EPR and E/L.

Although the number 1 horse did not race in 302 days it had that significant
5F workout within the last 2 weeks. In "How Will Your Horse Run Today".
William Scott has studied and documented the positiveness of the 5F workout
for layoff horses. It has worked for me many times before so I made a
judgemental call on the 1 horse. It also did not hurt to see that this horse
was a FPLR type as per his PP (which I can post if anyone is interested).
I considered the #1 in form and he was also number 1 for: E/L, E/EP, SC and
EPR.

The 8 horse was came out on top of the BL food chain with FI=1 and E/P=2.
The 8 horse also had won his last race by over 3 lengths and demonstrated
that he can make "power moves" (an expression that I recall after reading that
excellent post explaining the concepts of the "Match Up". So I bet the 1 and 8 to win.

I was worried about the low odds favorite (#9) busting the exacta considering he won his
last 2. The #3 horse could have also ran ITM. I admit I was lucky but I went
with the indicators above that my records have demonstrated to be very reliable.
And the high exacta payoffs justified this play


Ernie