50 Race Comparison: VDC vs NewPace - Pace and Cap

Bill Lyster · 08-07-2011, 01:12 PM

Rmath:

I took a cue from your recent comparison studies and added VDC columns to the recent DMR workup. there are 100 races in this sample.

I expanded the number of contenders to top four and ties in VDC after hiding the layoffs and long odds horses. See my notes at bottom of page. I chose contenders and let total energy be the primary guide to deletion.

Every once in a while a #5 or #6 TE horse would show up as VDC 1 or VDC 2, so in those cases I kept those horses and hid horses with higher TE, but lower VDC.

I did not bet races with more than two FTS, or foreign first US starts, or races with 4 horses entered.

By doing this I started seeing some amazing results - 100 race sample.
Wins: 83
exactas: 55
trifectas: 36
superfectas: 14

Great Idea, glad you decided to post your data.

The spreadsheet: NewPace-VDC DMR 2011.xls

Bill

08-07-2011, 01:12 PM	#9
Bill Lyster Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar" Posts: 2,418	Support for your study Rmath: I took a cue from your recent comparison studies and added VDC columns to the recent DMR workup. there are 100 races in this sample. I expanded the number of contenders to top four and ties in VDC after hiding the layoffs and long odds horses. See my notes at bottom of page. I chose contenders and let total energy be the primary guide to deletion. Every once in a while a #5 or #6 TE horse would show up as VDC 1 or VDC 2, so in those cases I kept those horses and hid horses with higher TE, but lower VDC. I did not bet races with more than two FTS, or foreign first US starts, or races with 4 horses entered. By doing this I started seeing some amazing results - 100 race sample. Wins: 83 exactas: 55 trifectas: 36 superfectas: 14 Great Idea, glad you decided to post your data. The spreadsheet: NewPace-VDC DMR 2011.xls Bill Last edited by Ted Craven; 08-07-2011 at 06:05 PM. Reason: re-posted Excel sheet

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