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05-03-2007, 10:02 PM
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#1 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,019
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Oaks/Derby Double
Oaks - # 13 Mistical Plan - Early runner who does not need the lead to win. Fast.
Kentucky Derby - # 20 Great Hunter - Other than early monster who is used to getting knocked and bumped around. Fast. Richie 
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"Grampy I'm talking to you!" |
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05-03-2007, 10:37 PM
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#2 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 593
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Amazing Im taking a hard look at both of them.
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Every day I wake up above the grass its a good day ! |
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05-03-2007, 11:08 PM
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#3 | |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 992
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Quote:
 I got Pizzola's rant today in the email and he likes Great Hunter as well. |
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05-04-2007, 01:46 AM
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#4 |
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Administrator
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,643
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first half
Heres for the little ladys
I will make win bets on # 3 and 13 WPS I will work the derby later. This is for the Oaks Strangly I have never seen this race!!!! Last edited by admin; 05-04-2007 at 06:30 AM. |
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05-04-2007, 07:09 PM
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#5 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,019
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Oaks Result
DD is dead. Ticket ripped up.
13 needed the lead to win - fought the 7 and both got killed off. Churchill Downs - Race 10 # Win Place Show 11 $5.00 $3.80 $2.80 4 . $5.20 $3.60 3 . . $3.60 Results: 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | ALL Wager-Type Winning Numbers Paid $2 Exacta 11-4 $30.00 $2 Trifecta 11-4-3 $131.00 $1 Trifecta Box $65.50 $2 Quad/Superfecta 11-4-3-1 $1830.60 Richie
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"Grampy I'm talking to you!" |
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05-04-2007, 09:35 PM
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#6 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Bullhead City Az
Posts: 921
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Imagine that.
One of the top two program picks wins again. Richie, Isn't this the same program that you used to use to support youself. Do I see a tri in the top four. 5/1 odds on the tri box. Bill, Good job of getting all of the contenders in the top four. Froggy Ps. I might have bet against the 11 too. |
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05-04-2007, 09:52 PM
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#7 | |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,019
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Quote:
Richie
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"Grampy I'm talking to you!" |
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05-04-2007, 10:03 PM
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#8 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Bullhead City Az
Posts: 921
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Richie,
From your experience just what are the chances that the winner is going to be in the top two? Froggy |
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05-04-2007, 11:01 PM
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#9 | |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,019
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The Bill Varone "Tick pad"
Quote:
I can say that my most PROFITABLE tier on bl/bl using the software for YEARS was tier THREE. I NEVER bet off models/corrolaries with any success. I used bl/bl and the e/l graph to find winning patterns as well as negative ones(especially good with favs). I value bet as others here have also described and did not look for the "best horse" Froggy. Bill made these little pads we called "tick pads" and we used them for YEARS when we hooked up at the Meadowlands. It consisted of THREE things 1) Bl/bl rank 2) V/dc rank 3) E/l graph we would hide to top 5 line score/tot energy and those 5 would be entered along with the above ifo on the tick pad for each race. It was a "sheet" for each race that when the race ended we just tossed away! Serious. Bill had the idea for them and from such simplicity came VERY good results. Richie
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"Grampy I'm talking to you!" |
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05-05-2007, 01:17 AM
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#10 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Bullhead City Az
Posts: 921
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Richie,
Good Idea I think I shall do something similar. I can't seem to find any profitable parallel between winning and the corollaries Thanks, Froggy |
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