Arlington Park R3 090607 - Pace and Cap

Nets · 09-07-2007, 09:30 AM

#7 was big favorite, but thought enough to like about the #6 to place a bet at more than generous odds. 2nd BLBL

Nets · 09-07-2007, 09:33 AM

Very close energy #, good EP

Nets · 09-07-2007, 09:38 AM

Here are the results

Nets · 09-07-2007, 09:41 AM

Made for another nice day thanks to RDSS!

Ted Craven · 09-07-2007, 09:46 AM

Great work Gary! And a great example of the 'wagercapping' notion of hiding (or ignoring) or the heavy favourite if you don't intend to bet it, also if another horse in the top 3 has good corollary support, as you demonstrate.

Of course, the generous mutuel makes it easier to ignore the favourite in this example. I have difficulty sometimes when the odds are less generous and the top ranked horse is so dominant: pass, let it beat you, or lose more races but collect more $ in the long run?

Congrats!

Ted

Nets · 09-07-2007, 09:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ted Craven

Great work Gary! And a great example of the 'wagercapping' notion of hiding (or ignoring) or the heavy favourite if you don't intend to bet it, also if another horse in the top 3 has good corollary support, as you demonstrate.

Of course, the generous mutuel makes it easier to ignore the favourite in this example. I have difficulty sometimes when the odds are less generous and the top ranked horse is so dominant: pass, let it beat you, or lose more races but collect more $ in the long run?

Congrats!

Ted

Thanks Ted,

I agree, and in this case the #1 BLBL was 1/1 and the #3 BLBL 2/1. The 16/1 odds for the #2 BLBL was simply too good to pass up with the reasonably decent corollaries.

Gary

admin · 09-07-2007, 10:10 PM

Hi Gary (Nets)

Very nice work not only the 7 but I see the 5 was also just 2/1
I admire you taking a shot with the 6
you made a very nice decision. Congratulations

I see you bet the horse win only Very nice
do you ever back up with place and show or use the exacta as a place bet ?

Nets · 09-07-2007, 11:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by admin

Hi Gary (Nets)

Very nice work not only the 7 but I see the 5 was also just 2/1
I admire you taking a shot with the 6
you made a very nice decision. Congratulations

I see you bet the horse win only Very nice
do you ever back up with place and show or use the exacta as a place bet ?

Thanks Bill,

Yes, often use the exacta as place, but time was short and I wanted to at least take the chance for a nice payoff. That's one area that I am working on - to come up with a consistent wagering style. Getting better but a long way to go.

Gary

09-07-2007, 09:41 AM	#4
Nets Grade 2 Join Date: Feb 2007 Location: near Ellis Park Posts: 98	Made for another nice day thanks to RDSS! Attached Images

09-07-2007, 09:46 AM	#5
Ted Craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada Posts: 9,258	Great work Gary! And a great example of the 'wagercapping' notion of hiding (or ignoring) or the heavy favourite if you don't intend to bet it, also if another horse in the top 3 has good corollary support, as you demonstrate. Of course, the generous mutuel makes it easier to ignore the favourite in this example. I have difficulty sometimes when the odds are less generous and the top ranked horse is so dominant: pass, let it beat you, or lose more races but collect more $ in the long run? Congrats! Ted __________________ RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™

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09-07-2007, 09:30 AM	#1
Nets Grade 2 Join Date: Feb 2007 Location: near Ellis Park Posts: 98	Arlington Park R3 090607 #7 was big favorite, but thought enough to like about the #6 to place a bet at more than generous odds. 2nd BLBL Attached Images

09-07-2007, 09:33 AM	#2
Nets Grade 2 Join Date: Feb 2007 Location: near Ellis Park Posts: 98	Very close energy #, good EP Attached Images

09-07-2007, 09:38 AM	#3
Nets Grade 2 Join Date: Feb 2007 Location: near Ellis Park Posts: 98	Here are the results Attached Images

09-07-2007, 10:10 PM	#7
admin Administrator Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 2,643	Nice Hi Gary (Nets) Very nice work not only the 7 but I see the 5 was also just 2/1 I admire you taking a shot with the 6 you made a very nice decision. Congratulations I see you bet the horse win only Very nice do you ever back up with place and show or use the exacta as a place bet ?