Match Up Analysis

[shoeless]

Bill,No need for you to be sorry about being active on board lately,you have done plenty here already.Jeff

[shoeless]

WOW 93 views so far and only 2 people have responded,I tip my handicapping cap to you all.

[partsnut]

I chose this race at todays Aqueduct because it seemed to be a good race using both Thoromation and the Match-Up.
To me, the race indicates other then early.
I eventually came up with the following and would like opinions on this race.
I want to see if my procedure is right and don't basically care who wins the race or who gets it right or wrong. This is basically a learning process for me.
I want to keep an open mind to all methods open to me and am not opposed to learning something new.

[simon]

Hello Partsnut
which race is this ?
Thanks RK

[partsnut]

Originally Posted by Ragin

Hello Partsnut
which race is this ?
Thanks RK

I apologize, I was in a rush to get out of the house this morning.
The race that I illustrated was Race -1 Aqueduct (today).

[simon]

Hello

I hear you, thanks for asking my opinion

I ran the race in KGEN Thoromation

here are my lines

  Horse 1   Line 1   8.0   23.9  48.0   112.4   137.1    5  4  2   1  SP
  Horse 2   Line 1   8.3   23.1  47.1   112.1   142.5    4  4  2   3  SP
  Horse 4   Line 1   8.3   23.5  47.6   112.6   142.4    1  1  3   3  E
  Horse 5   Line 1   8.3   23.2  47.3   111.5   141.1    3  2  2   2  EP
  Horse 6   Line 2   8.0   23.4  46.7   111.8   137.4    4  4  2   1  SP
  Horse 7   Line 3   9.0   47.4  111.3            150.5    5  5  2   3  S
  Horse 8   Line 1   8.3   23.1  47.1   112.3   142.1    5  4  2   1  SP
  Horse 9   Line 7   8.3   23.4  46.3   111.6   141.2    2  2  2   2  EP

  Projected pace  47.6  112.0

The readouts on the SP Preplay screen that comes up first are
1 6 5
on EXDC its
6 5 9
on thoromation its
6 5 1

Partsnut I have been having best results when
The first screen on preplay and thoromation agree
but some races like this one were they are different
not so much
I quess I will go with 6 and 5

Thanks RK

[simon]

A KGEN Thoromation
B Raw
C any
D two horse win bets only
E 60/40 top two choices odds




Thank you for your post
i really am doing much better following along
over in the Hat Check area

It makes it more fun and I get a much better feeling of a good Job
when I follow Jim and you than just picking lines for all horses

I am very grateful for your work

RK

[RichieP]

Guys
here are the raw Power Lines for Parts's race. As you see some are very deep in pp's.

I don't have these programs to export to ( have a feeling they won't work on Vista)

1) Decide after looking at each horse's past performances if they are a contender today.

2) If no throw the horse out

3) If you feel both the earlies shown are NOT in form/contenders race obviously will run other than early.

4) If you feel 1 of the 2 earlies shown ARE in form/contender then the race will run early and that is the horse.

5) If you feel both earlies ARE in form they cancel each other out based on 1st calls and race will run other than early

Some of you guys with the thoromation software maybe can evaluate contenders and throw in the lines I have shown for the ones you feel ARE contenders. Curious as to what the reads show

safe day everyone
Richie

[simon]

hello Rich
I will send it right over

with Kgen/thromation

[shoeless]

Here is my take on the race

1ST-RED

2ND-GREEN

3RD-YELLOW

BOX THESE IN AN EXACTA


I GIVE UP ON THIS THREAD-SEE YOU ALL DOWN THE ROAD