Parx followup - Pace and Cap

Mitch44 · 06-10-2018, 02:53 PM

That's not really so as favorites are still winning their fair share of races, just not at the high rate that 55% odds on win.

Any favorite regardless of odds needs to be put into context as to whether its legit or not regardless of the odds. Even odds on favorites can be classified as not being legit if its entered today at the wrong distance or surface etc.

Its also a fallacy that favorites win at a 33% rate. When all races are considered perhaps but not even then. When broken down by class as an example the picture is entirely different.

All races have contenders but like favorites some are better than others when placed into context. Hope you have success Tom.
Mitch44

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06-10-2018, 02:53 PM	#10
Mitch44 Grade 1 Join Date: Nov 2014 Location: The Villages, Fl. Posts: 3,872	That's not really so as favorites are still winning their fair share of races, just not at the high rate that 55% odds on win. Any favorite regardless of odds needs to be put into context as to whether its legit or not regardless of the odds. Even odds on favorites can be classified as not being legit if its entered today at the wrong distance or surface etc. Its also a fallacy that favorites win at a 33% rate. When all races are considered perhaps but not even then. When broken down by class as an example the picture is entirely different. All races have contenders but like favorites some are better than others when placed into context. Hope you have success Tom. Mitch44