Arlington Millions - Pace and Cap

Ted Craven · 08-11-2018, 08:44 PM

As to a more detailed analysis - well, I sure like the number of rank 1s and rank 2s on the top 2 horses from the main line scores: BL, VDC, Rx. Also the 1 and 2 ranks from ProfitLine and Prime Power. And the public Odds, and the PW tote ratio (on the #11).

The Top 4 all seemed like they could get the distance before, and against top competition, so no disqualifiers there.

In my modelling, Rx3 continues to be a great factor when supported by recency and tote. I am also liking the array of 4 high-level factors in VDC, CSR, PL and BPP (Prime Power) as described by Rmath.

That's what informed my analysis. I have also been dutching 2 or 3 horses to Win - this combo of #11 and #10 returns 54 - 57%, a bit low, and I like to hit around 60% of the time at those net odds. The #3 and #8 made me feel uncomfortable - thus no bet.

Ted

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08-11-2018, 08:44 PM	#11
Ted Craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada Posts: 9,256	As to a more detailed analysis - well, I sure like the number of rank 1s and rank 2s on the top 2 horses from the main line scores: BL, VDC, Rx. Also the 1 and 2 ranks from ProfitLine and Prime Power. And the public Odds, and the PW tote ratio (on the #11). The Top 4 all seemed like they could get the distance before, and against top competition, so no disqualifiers there. In my modelling, Rx3 continues to be a great factor when supported by recency and tote. I am also liking the array of 4 high-level factors in VDC, CSR, PL and BPP (Prime Power) as described by Rmath. That's what informed my analysis. I have also been dutching 2 or 3 horses to Win - this combo of #11 and #10 returns 54 - 57%, a bit low, and I like to hit around 60% of the time at those net odds. The #3 and #8 made me feel uncomfortable - thus no bet. Ted __________________ RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™