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#1 |
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Conley
Join Date: Sep 2018
Location: Fergus, Canada
Posts: 1,785
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Santa Anita Spot Plays 12/26
2 spot play races that I am focusing on which are Race 8 and Race 11 tomorrow at Santa Anita! Good luck to all playing the opening day card!
Analysis with suggested wagering is below R8 La Brea S G1 7F Dirt PT: 5:35 pm EST Baffert sending out 4 horses in this race alone and I'll take my chances with one of them with #4 Midnight Memories; This horse loves this track which she is already 3-for-3 winning the Grade 2 Zenyatta here in her most previous start; Form has been sharp getting 2 victories in the last 3 races and her speed figures top this field by a good margin; Track has been playing well with E/P horses and E horses getting 40% of the wins at this class level which she holds an E/P++; She hasn't raced in 2 months which is my only concern but all the positives going into this race cancel the negatives so we are looking at a very good horse to take it all the way here today! #2 Hot Peppers ships in from Saratoga and also has solid early speed plus she is 8-1 on the morning line so one to definitely not keep off the tickets today; #6 Fun to Dream is carrying a 2 win race streak into today with this being one of the Baffert horses and jockey Juan Hernandez has done excellent with 'Dream so far in her career; #3 Ganadora to round out the superfectas and could surprise late Suggested wagers: Exacta/Trifecta/Superfecta Box 2-3-4-6 if the value is there on top if not then Win/Place on 4 with Key 4/2-3-6 2-3-6/4 R11 American Oaks G1 1 1/4 miles Downhill Turf PT: 7:11 pm EST A good betting race to close out Opening Day at Santa Anita and my top selection here is #6 Mise En Scene; She had to handle a hot pace early on in the Breeders Cup Filly&mare Turf (last race) where she was positioned about 4-5 lengths off the leader but unfortunately came up short to finish 6th that day; She earned a good speed figure that day of a 106 BRIS and that is fastest vs today's field on Turf; A switch to rider Tyler Gaffalione can help the chances of this one where this field offers no early speed and only stalkers and closers can really do the damage late which she has a Stalker like running style; An off the pace victory is not out of site for this one today and I think that is exactly (hopefully) what happens here; #2 Sparkle Blue offers big value with such good form heading into today and shipping in from Keeneland with Rosario that stays on from the win last out to get this one into a good placing; #5 Bellstreet Bridie took the lead after the 2nd call to win going away by 4 1/4 last out in the Grade 3 Red Carpet at Del mar and trainer Glatt does well with horses winning last out (20%/57%); #8 Pizza Bianca has tried so hard to get back into the winners circle after coming up short since that race on may 20th and a quick turn back from racing only 22 days ago could help this one get back to doing just that Suggested wagers: Exacta/Trifecta/Superfecta Box 2-5-6-8 Key 6/2-5-8 2-5-8/6 Super Hi-5 2-5-6/2-5-6/2-5-6-8/2-5-6-8-9/2-5-6-8-9-1-11 Let's get some Boxing Day Ca$h!
__________________
Life is an adventure, enjoy it and live every day as if it were your last- Barb Craven ![]() ![]()
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#2 |
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Conley
Join Date: Sep 2018
Location: Fergus, Canada
Posts: 1,785
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Ate dirt today both selections were run up the trackers
Oh well we'll get them hopefully back on Friday at Oaklawn
__________________
Life is an adventure, enjoy it and live every day as if it were your last- Barb Craven ![]() ![]()
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