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Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2020
Location: Vermont
Posts: 167
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My 2 cents .......The information is all there , as always it is deciding what is most important in each race based on your track model . Yesterdays Belmont was a good example. In the races over the 3 days up to the Belmont, there was a HUGE speed bias. If a horse was not very close to the lead by the second call , it did not have a chance to win and rarely even placed. Long shot speed horses were winning and heavy favorite P and S horses ( especially with low position points) were not coming close.
Based on the track bias , I focused on the EPR horses and horses with a running style of E. I bet against the S and low point P horses. The 6 was high in EPR and had an E running style. It was not high in Rx screen metrics. The 10 also was 1 of 3 horses with an E running style , but lower EPR. The double and exacta both paid very well. ( The top late horses finished 3rd and 4th , but they were never close) |
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