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Races of Interest *Detailed* Discussion of Races – Screen shots, decisions, post-mortems

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Old 03-05-2025, 04:43 PM   #1
Lt1
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RMATH LSP Saves the Day R10 PARX 3-5

Going into r10 was down $100 when I played the r10 ex and lo and behold my lsp when the race keying a $178.20 ex and making it a winning day. My
picks
TRK FAST
R1 3-1-7-2 LS4
R2 2-3-4-1
R3 3=7-8-5 LS6
R4 7-6-2-4
R5 8-4-7-3 LS1
R6 3-8-2-7 LS4
R7 5-9=1-2 LS3 LS8
R8 4-2-3-6
R9 2-9-8-1 LS6 LS4
R10 5-10-7-6 LS8 LS12
GOOD LUCK
Tim
Winning Ticket
Mar 5 3:37:49 PM Complete Parx Racing 10 Exacta $2.00
12/5,6,7,8,10 $10 $178.20 $168.20
Winning Combo
12[$24.40] 10[$5.20]
Screen Shots
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Name:  Screenshot (20).jpg
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The LSP tiered #10 BL/BL & #8 RX ranking #$VDC & #4 CSR, the place horse tiered #5 BL/BL & #2 RX.
Tim
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Old 03-06-2025, 02:53 PM   #2
kahunab
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Well Done Tim, I must admit that I lost this one, barely! If you watched the race in the last 20 yards the 1 horse passed the 5 who was my Key horse in a Key box trifecta. The 1 horse was my long shot horse based on his NP score, and BPP, and PL scores. I threw out the 6 as an E who could not keep up. My bet was the 5 Keyed with the 8,10,12,1.
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I also want to point out that our data shows based on 300 races that at PRX 91% of the time the Winner is in the top 5 RX3, the Place horse 84% and the Show horse 82%. Most other tracks show the same percentages, + or - a couple of points.Meaning we can find the exacta there 76% of the time and the tri 63% of the time. We need to watch for those long shots like the 1 and indicators that will show a long shot. The big question is bet construction with this kind of data. If you watch the race, you will see how well RDSS predicted the outcome.
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Old 03-06-2025, 03:04 PM   #3
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Thanks Dick. That was a tough beat.
Tim
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Old 03-06-2025, 06:53 PM   #4
dadams6357
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Tim and Dick

Thanks for your contributions.
I learn something new everyday.
Also Dick thanks for presenting your logic that you used
in making your decision. That I very much appreciate
because you have shown that making decisions and
sticking with them is a big part of the game.

Don
ps. I noticed that you folks had 50 hits...and probably
climbing. But like I say...a thank you for information
presented should be a common courtesy.. I guess I
am ole school.
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Old 03-07-2025, 12:31 PM   #5
shoeless
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Dick

Thanks for sharing the info on Parx. May I ask is this with using preceptor
or your own pace lines.


Tim

Nice hit

Jeff
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Old 03-07-2025, 01:57 PM   #6
Lt1
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Thanks Don and Jeff. Don all us farts were taught the same thing. I guess the newer generations weren't brought up the same way.
Tim
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Old 03-07-2025, 04:26 PM   #7
ignacio todoberto bernal
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Thnks ! For you sharing,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
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Old 03-07-2025, 11:47 PM   #8
dadams6357
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Tim
You got that right.
Don
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