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#11 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Mar 2015
Location: Downers Grove, Il
Posts: 538
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Storm
The following book" Beat the Racetrack by William T. Ziemba (1984-11-03". in their book they found that there were inefficiencies between the win place and show pools. So if you look at the total win pool of lets say horse 1 and the same for place and show. One may be do better betting the place and show. Better ROI (return on investment) and less risk. If you like page after page of mathematical equations this is the book for you. A side story...Radio Shack use to sell this little hand held half computer half calculater. It took me llke 2 weeks trying to put all the formulas in. Then my nephew and niece stopped by...picked up the comp/calc and stated whats this button. Before I could say or shout a word like stop. They pushed the button and there went two weeks of work. A nothing like having curious children around. Anyways if you go to Twinspires they show the percentages of win/place/show pools on each horse (i think). You might be able to ball park it. Like i stated before the book is a bit much unless your like Dick then you would enjoy a read or two. You might go to Chatgp also known as CoPilot and ask there free AI...there pretty good for answering questions. Might have what you need there. Good luck handicapping. Don |
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#12 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: central islip ny
Posts: 1,196
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Dr Ziemba was a regular at our meetups in Saratoga the last two or three years before he died. Very nice man and a true genius.
__________________
Check out my daily picks for Saratoga in the Saratoga Special http://www.thisishorseracing.com |
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#13 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Mar 2015
Location: Downers Grove, Il
Posts: 538
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Gandalf
Never met him but that he was. He stated that the Stock Market was easier to play than the ponies. Don |
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#14 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Largo Fl.
Posts: 2,363
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Book
I have the book Exotic Betting at the Racetrack. W.T. Ziemba
Drop me a line if interested Bob |
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#15 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Largo Fl.
Posts: 2,363
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Books
I also have Handicapping Two-Year- Old Thorobreds
Betting With an Edge By Mike Maloney Off The Charts. By Nick Borg. Just drop me a line if any interest in these. Bob |
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#16 | |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Reno, NV
Posts: 455
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Quote:
I try to read up the old stuff before the Kentucky Derby every year and I am going thru the 55% Solution right now and saw this on page 68. Dick Shmidt is talking about Howard picking a 90-1 horse to show and getting a $17 show payoff on a $2 bet and being proud of it. His method was pretty simple according to Dick anyways, if there was one horse he was sure could beat a longshot, and maybe a second horse that might have been better, then the longshot should SHOW. Hard to argue with that logic, honestly. |
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