my new approach to the races - Page 3 - Pace and Cap

Forego · 05-28-2007, 01:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Turbulator

That's very good. A $3.62 dollar net. A $1.62 ROI. Are these results typical for you?

One other thing I noticed is that you hit a $5.00 horse a $4.40 and a $3.00 horse. Do you have a minimum odds requirement when betting two horses to win?

Thanks

i advance bet all the races turbulator without paying any attention to odds. so i lost a dollar when the 3.00 horse won, made 40 cents when the 4.40 horse won etc etc.

i bet them all at once then forget about them. I do not have 6 to 10 hours a day to toteboard watch anymore. family and too many other things going on work wise. i am sure there is a more efficient way but i have to prioritize things.

ray lopez · 05-28-2007, 02:21 PM

Forego,nice work ...

The biggest obstacle you're going to encounter betting just the top 2,without
regards to the odds is...you're going to lose money in the long run.I used to
do it this way and i never turned the corner until i started betting the 2nd,
3rd,and the 4th program-choice overlays.It's okay if you're just doing this
as a hobby,but if you want to make a living at this,go for value...

ray lopez · 05-28-2007, 02:27 PM

Forego,if you want to advance-bet because you don't have the time...my
suggestion is not to bet the heavy favorite top pick which has a morning line
of less than 5-2...bet the 2nd and 3rd choice...You might have a lower
winning percentage but you'll have a higher ROI...

JimG · 05-28-2007, 02:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ray lopez

Forego,if you want to advance-bet because you don't have the time...my
suggestion is not to bet the heavy favorite top pick which has a morning line
of less than 5-2...bet the 2nd and 3rd choice...You might have a lower
winning percentage but you'll have a higher ROI...

...or would you be better off just passing on races where the top choice is the favorite on the morning line?

xtb · 05-28-2007, 04:03 PM

Probably have to do an analysis, I've seen ML favorites go off at 10:1 and win. If your results are holding up, keep doing what you're doing. Nice job Forego!

ray lopez · 05-28-2007, 04:30 PM

The 2nd race at Belmont today on the turf, just pickingthe best turf lines
in the horse's past pp's...i'm still gasping for air in disbelief on this record
payout for me...the 11th horse won and paid $123.00...the ice-cold beer
i had afterwards felt so good....

admin · 05-28-2007, 05:19 PM

Nice work Ray

here is the winner Can I ask which line ?

ray lopez · 05-28-2007, 05:42 PM

I picked the 6th line and the line is a little over a year old.I stay as close to
a year...Pizzola advocates going as far as it goes,but it's just my personal
choice not to go too far out...

ray lopez · 05-28-2007, 05:52 PM

I dutched the 2-9-11-5 in a four-horse dutch...

ray lopez · 05-28-2007, 06:16 PM

If i pick the 7th line,he would be the top 2 pick...with the 6th line,he was in
my top 3...and my personal approach now is to dutch up to 4 horses.With
this approach,i don't go into long losing streaks which can affect one's
psyche...
I'm thinking of buying a new notebook computer,but i heard that our DOS
programs won't work with the Vista operating system...Can i reinstall my
old XP operating system on it? Thanks.

05-28-2007, 05:19 PM	#27
admin Administrator Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 2,643	Big daddy Nice work Ray here is the winner Can I ask which line ? Attached Images

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05-28-2007, 02:21 PM	#22
ray lopez Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2006 Posts: 1,138	Forego,nice work ... The biggest obstacle you're going to encounter betting just the top 2,without regards to the odds is...you're going to lose money in the long run.I used to do it this way and i never turned the corner until i started betting the 2nd, 3rd,and the 4th program-choice overlays.It's okay if you're just doing this as a hobby,but if you want to make a living at this,go for value...

05-28-2007, 02:27 PM	#23
ray lopez Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2006 Posts: 1,138	Forego,if you want to advance-bet because you don't have the time...my suggestion is not to bet the heavy favorite top pick which has a morning line of less than 5-2...bet the 2nd and 3rd choice...You might have a lower winning percentage but you'll have a higher ROI...

05-28-2007, 04:03 PM	#25
xtb Grade 1 Join Date: Oct 2006 Location: Western NY Posts: 111	Probably have to do an analysis, I've seen ML favorites go off at 10:1 and win. If your results are holding up, keep doing what you're doing. Nice job Forego!

05-28-2007, 04:30 PM	#26
ray lopez Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2006 Posts: 1,138	The 2nd race at Belmont today on the turf, just pickingthe best turf lines in the horse's past pp's...i'm still gasping for air in disbelief on this record payout for me...the 11th horse won and paid $123.00...the ice-cold beer i had afterwards felt so good....

05-28-2007, 05:42 PM	#28
ray lopez Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2006 Posts: 1,138	I picked the 6th line and the line is a little over a year old.I stay as close to a year...Pizzola advocates going as far as it goes,but it's just my personal choice not to go too far out...

05-28-2007, 05:52 PM	#29
ray lopez Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2006 Posts: 1,138	I dutched the 2-9-11-5 in a four-horse dutch...

05-28-2007, 06:16 PM	#30
ray lopez Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2006 Posts: 1,138	If i pick the 7th line,he would be the top 2 pick...with the 6th line,he was in my top 3...and my personal approach now is to dutch up to 4 horses.With this approach,i don't go into long losing streaks which can affect one's psyche... I'm thinking of buying a new notebook computer,but i heard that our DOS programs won't work with the Vista operating system...Can i reinstall my old XP operating system on it? Thanks.