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Classic Sartin Programs - Support, Discussion Phase III/MPH, Synergism, Energy, Kgen, Entropy, Thoromation, Quad-Rater, PaceLauncher, Synthesis, Validator, Val4, Speculator, etc ... |
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03-16-2008, 04:25 PM | #11 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Bullhead City Az
Posts: 921
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Race Seven
For those who think I did the impossible you are wrong.
It was straight forward Sartin Methodology as described by the Doc. Himself. First I set RDSS up with no variants in the Spec160 mode. For race seven I entered a line for every horse in the race except the 8 which was a first time starter and was 5/1 on the morning line and opened up at 6/5. I exported from the Adjusted screen because there were sprinters going to into a route and I needed their projected times. I the two horses to bet were in both Paragons and were the top two per the Variegate Notice that the winner also had a low muv and #1 sustained. |
03-16-2008, 04:40 PM | #12 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Bullhead City Az
Posts: 921
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Race Seven
I entered a pace line for every horse.
In Energy I eliminated all those that didn't have a 1 or 2 in their sortline. Bet the two horses in both Paragons and top two in the Variegate. |
03-16-2008, 05:23 PM | #13 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Bullhead City Az
Posts: 921
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This race was a little scary.
Race nine.
Entered a pace line for every horse. Best one out of the last three per Perceptor. #5 had a route second line back but I figured since that was the first race after a layoff I would go down one more to the 7f line. Again since this was a mixture of routers and sprinters going long I exported from the Ajusted screen. Eliminate those without a 1 or 2 in their sort line in Energy. Since the Variegate was Early and I have found that Paragon A is a strong predictor. The rest is history. Of the more than 70 races this month that I worked and bet at Aqu. regardless of the Varigate, #1 Paragon A won over 40% at a $9.00 mutuel average. It pays to keep records. |
03-16-2008, 05:36 PM | #14 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Bullhead City Az
Posts: 921
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Not everybody would have gotten the $48 winner. I was just lucky that I made the right decisions at the right time in the right place.
But everybody that uses the methodolgy should have had the winners in the 7th & 8th races and all the other lower price winners too. Notice that I bet my two selections even if one of them is the odds on favorite. I no longer stay out of the race because there is no perceived profit. I get enough price horses this way that when the favorite does win I'm just happy that I was right. |
03-16-2008, 09:09 PM | #15 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: NYC and San Diego
Posts: 627
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Nice job - I'm lovin' it. I don't use RDSS at the moment but my question to you is:
Where did you pick up the elimination procedure in Energy of not having a 1 or a 2 in the sort line? Also, how many horses does that get it down to typically in those races you're entering a paceline for each horse? I would think Paragon A would be strong on the AQUI. As Richie would say, it's all POSITIVE, man! |
03-16-2008, 09:46 PM | #16 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Largo Fl.
Posts: 2,305
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Definition
What is your definition of short line? Maybe you could do a demo for us using pace line selection?
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03-16-2008, 10:49 PM | #17 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: NYC and San Diego
Posts: 627
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I think by the sort line he means the sorted rankings of the 6 factors : EP through FX, as shown above in the screen capture. I don't think he includes MUV in the "sort line" but I could be wrong.
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03-17-2008, 12:58 AM | #18 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Bullhead City Az
Posts: 921
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Lou and Raceman,
I don't know just where I saw or heard that elimination procedure but I'll get it and post it here. The sort screen is the one used in the above examples. Look at the ninth race in the first black screen you'll see horse 2STO2. That is the saddle cloth number, first three letters of his name and paceline number that I selected with Perceptor using RDSS. Horse 2STO2 ranks 6th in early pace, 6th as a presser, 6th in hidden energy, 6th in sustained pace, 3rd in late energy and 6th in factor X. The last number, "4.02" is the horses muv or match up variegate which is similar to lengths behind at the second call. Froggy |
03-17-2008, 11:47 AM | #19 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Bullhead City Az
Posts: 921
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Quantum Energyst
Lou
This is from the Energy workbook #2, page #17. It states that "Using Energy requires LITTLE OR NO PROFICIENCY WITH THE MATCH-UP. (Thats me) Good luck Froggy Last edited by froggy; 03-17-2008 at 11:52 AM. |
03-17-2008, 04:10 PM | #20 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: NYC and San Diego
Posts: 627
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