Derby numbers

[Tim Y]

All you need to know to evaluate the field are these numbers.

"Don't think, BLINK." Malcolm Galdwell.


Bringing in all that extraneous material would dilute the nature of what this projects. This is what I found to be predictive and I am staying with them and nothing else. You have to look at them as stepping stones: the ones that can't make it the first Saturday in May have not matured in their ability to apportion their speed below a 68% median and if their last three preps are going down in total energy, they are also telling you that 10 furlongs is too far.

Put each of the colt's last three in the incremental deceleration screen and it is also as predictive. Then put the field together with those that have met the criteria (and have at least 5 to 6 races -remember Curlin, and a few others who did not have the seasoning).

Look at Fusichi, Funny Cide's and Giacomo's last several median's. Giacomo's 2nd back was his only one really out of range and threw me, and many others, off his path.