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Old 07-08-2008, 05:33 PM   #8
Rverge
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: pittsburgh, now! Lancaster, CA.
Posts: 2,531
monday

Quote:
Originally Posted by RichieP View Post
Howard always stressed the need to keep 2 sets of readouts.

1) Win Betting or "After Hides":
He instructed everyone to determine a minimum odds requirement comfortable for THEM as individuals. If it was 2/1 or less he prescribed a 60% bet on lower odds and 40% on the higher odds choice. At 5/2 minimum (which was his) and higher he suggested splitting the bet equally.

OK regardless of one's minimum he and folks such as Tom Brohammer stressed the importance of eliminating ANY and ALL horses one was NOT prepared to bet.
This could be for any reason including things like odds too low, neg form, etc.

When "hiding" the low odds horse and all others the plan was to have users "Wagercap" the remaining top 3 tier horses on BL/BL. Then 2 potential wager methods were described.
A) Take your minimum odds horse as 1st bet if he is in first 2 tiers of BL/BL. Then for the 2nd wager take highest odds horse of remaining horses in top 3 tiers(going to tier 4 only on occasions where he has strong corollary support).
B) A more aggressive approach by betting the 2 highest odds horses in the top 3 tiers.

2) Exotic Betting or "Before Hides":
NO horses are hidden for odds etc and records kept will help "find" the place horse.

The hardest thing about "Wagercapping" and "Value Betting" is being able to establish an ability to PASS races where the chalk is going to win.
The hardest thing about "Wagercapping"...etc.
Was my problem yesterday at mnr w/ tdh, pha, ind, "blucko"!
Rverge
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