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Old 08-08-2008, 12:13 PM   #11
dcox
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That's OK Richie!

Let me just give more number I checked today. Just for clarification these numbers ran at class C tracks, non maiden. It appears to not hold with better horses (look at Saratoga race above).

Breakdown:
Power Move & WON results next race: 31 races/ 2 wins
Power Move & P or S next race: 33 races / 11 wins $$$
Power Move & Out next race: 35 races / 5 wins about 51% ROI

Explanation? My guess if they win they have accomplished their goal or less pessimistic view taken something out of the horse (you choose). If they didn't quite get it done, look out next time but most no more than 5 or 6/1. If have power move and didn't get in the money, horse was out of it or crap either way elimination very possible.
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Old 08-08-2008, 01:55 PM   #12
Charlie D
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Screen 1, lines used


Screenshot 2

#2 and #4 out, too slow



The segments screen almost shows race as i saw it, however, as i stated earlier, i saw #1 being part of Early pace and as such the #1 would have no pretrol left at end

Race OTE # 6
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Old 08-11-2008, 01:01 PM   #13
dcox
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This will be the last post of more numbers but here is another set:

Power move and WON: 0 / 24
Power move and P or S: 4 / 25
Power move and OUT: 0 / 24

Seems like a pretty good elimination device for a couple of these!
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Old 08-11-2008, 01:26 PM   #14
mufasa
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DCOX:

Just curious and maybe you have already stated this--are we talking about Power Moves last race or no more then 2nd race back?

Thanks,

Robert
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Old 08-11-2008, 02:10 PM   #15
dcox
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Last race!
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Old 08-11-2008, 05:11 PM   #16
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Richie, in the example you posted I don't understand why you used the last race for the #4 horse (it is checked), which is a turf race, and not the second race back which is a 6f dirt race--and a winning effort. The second race back is the same distance and surface as the race in question.
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Old 08-11-2008, 06:03 PM   #17
RichieP
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Turbulator View Post
Richie, in the example you posted I don't understand why you used the last race for the #4 horse (it is checked), which is a turf race, and not the second race back which is a 6f dirt race--and a winning effort. The second race back is the same distance and surface as the race in question.
Plain and simple the 1:08 6f cutback time on that turf race Steve. I need a speed like that in my head after seeing the others. Look at the 3's 6f cutback time. That put the time in my head and the line shows a forward move 1c-2c which in an OTE race that Charlie had correctly identified it as this is a PLUS.

Gives me a recency check in my head he's still a horse and a reminder he is advantaged by today's projected race shape winner (O.T.E.)

NOW if you like go grab that nice Gp 7f line below that sets up perfectly with today's PP.

My mind drifts all over when I work a race and I often check mark things that don't make too much sense the next day or when ever.

Last edited by RichieP; 08-11-2008 at 06:11 PM.
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