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RDSS Racing Decision Support System – The Modern Sartin Methodology |
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08-08-2008, 12:13 PM | #11 |
Avid Student
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: Lone Star Park (50 miles)
Posts: 50
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That's OK Richie!
Let me just give more number I checked today. Just for clarification these numbers ran at class C tracks, non maiden. It appears to not hold with better horses (look at Saratoga race above). Breakdown: Power Move & WON results next race: 31 races/ 2 wins Power Move & P or S next race: 33 races / 11 wins $$$ Power Move & Out next race: 35 races / 5 wins about 51% ROI Explanation? My guess if they win they have accomplished their goal or less pessimistic view taken something out of the horse (you choose). If they didn't quite get it done, look out next time but most no more than 5 or 6/1. If have power move and didn't get in the money, horse was out of it or crap either way elimination very possible.
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Good luck and good handicapping! |
08-08-2008, 01:55 PM | #12 |
Match Up Apprentice
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 2,105
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Screen 1, lines used
Screenshot 2 #2 and #4 out, too slow The segments screen almost shows race as i saw it, however, as i stated earlier, i saw #1 being part of Early pace and as such the #1 would have no pretrol left at end Race OTE # 6
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"To me, The Match Up supercedes everything" |
08-11-2008, 01:01 PM | #13 |
Avid Student
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: Lone Star Park (50 miles)
Posts: 50
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This will be the last post of more numbers but here is another set:
Power move and WON: 0 / 24 Power move and P or S: 4 / 25 Power move and OUT: 0 / 24 Seems like a pretty good elimination device for a couple of these!
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Good luck and good handicapping! |
08-11-2008, 01:26 PM | #14 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 310
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DCOX:
Just curious and maybe you have already stated this--are we talking about Power Moves last race or no more then 2nd race back? Thanks, Robert |
08-11-2008, 02:10 PM | #15 |
Avid Student
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: Lone Star Park (50 miles)
Posts: 50
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Last race!
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Good luck and good handicapping! |
08-11-2008, 05:11 PM | #16 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Mar 2006
Posts: 467
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Richie, in the example you posted I don't understand why you used the last race for the #4 horse (it is checked), which is a turf race, and not the second race back which is a 6f dirt race--and a winning effort. The second race back is the same distance and surface as the race in question.
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08-11-2008, 06:03 PM | #17 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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Quote:
Gives me a recency check in my head he's still a horse and a reminder he is advantaged by today's projected race shape winner (O.T.E.) NOW if you like go grab that nice Gp 7f line below that sets up perfectly with today's PP. My mind drifts all over when I work a race and I often check mark things that don't make too much sense the next day or when ever. Last edited by RichieP; 08-11-2008 at 06:11 PM. |
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