Jay and the Fat Man Woodbine Wed. - Page 3 - Pace and Cap

Bill V. · 07-07-2010, 08:39 PM

Good work
Too bad about the bet

Bill V. · 07-07-2010, 08:39 PM

2 -3 for me race 5

Jay Kassa · 07-07-2010, 08:40 PM

thats the way to win long-term.

I hate the #1's spotting here. He kind of had needed pace relief last time and now is not the time to cut back for him.
The

is a consistent earner for Pino. Assuming he is in good condition I like the 2 here.
Exacta 2 with 8,9
and also Win on

@ 2-1 and greater

tfm · 07-07-2010, 08:43 PM

R5:

#2, the chalk will be very tough. #3 is the only one that can beat her. #5 is the only other one with a shot. I'm throwing out Assman again.

I only play 2 numbers so it's hard to decide between playing a 2 / 3 , 5 exacta and/or a 2 / 3 exacta box. the 2 / 3 is paying $17, 2 / 5 is paying $37 and the 3 / 2 is paying $26. Hard to bet 3 or even 2 numbers with these low payoffs.

tfm · 07-07-2010, 08:49 PM

Good hit, Jay. I could never use the 8 off the FE races.

Jay Kassa · 07-07-2010, 08:50 PM

i'll take $18 for a 7-5 shot winner

puts a damper on the pick3 but these 2 singles are 6:1 and 12:1 on the ML for races 6,7

Jay Kassa · 07-07-2010, 08:52 PM

we should have gone in on a tri $144 for a near "lock" on top with our numbers

tfm · 07-07-2010, 08:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jay Kassa

we should have gone in on a tri $144 for a near "lock" on top with our numbers

Actually. I didn't look beyond her 2010 races, as she was coming back from FE and I usually toss those horses. Looking back at the charts, her win 10/24/09 is HUGE and she made premature moves on 11/14/09 and 11/25/09. Certainly a very logic use.

Jay Kassa · 07-07-2010, 09:04 PM

yea she had some hidden form, and Tiller isn't a fool. She had that one bad race in 2010 where she was 2-1 against Island Girl and wide as hell...

I like the 1 here (a lot more at her mL of 6-1 than 5-2!)... she looks like LONE speed, but the

could annoy here, Sutherland figures to be closer to the pace.
Again the

is a possible show play if she stays ice cold in that pool as possible controlling speed.

Bill V. · 07-07-2010, 09:08 PM

1 and 2 for me

07-07-2010, 08:39 PM	#21
Bill V. The egg man Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Carlsbad, California Posts: 10,005	nice win Good work Too bad about the bet

07-07-2010, 08:39 PM	#22
Bill V. The egg man Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Carlsbad, California Posts: 10,005	Race 5 2 -3 for me race 5

07-07-2010, 09:08 PM	#30
Bill V. The egg man Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Carlsbad, California Posts: 10,005	Race 6 1 and 2 for me

07-07-2010, 08:40 PM	#23
Jay Kassa AlwNW2X Join Date: Dec 2009 Posts: 24	thats the way to win long-term. I hate the #1's spotting here. He kind of had needed pace relief last time and now is not the time to cut back for him. The is a consistent earner for Pino. Assuming he is in good condition I like the 2 here. Exacta 2 with 8,9 and also Win on @ 2-1 and greater

07-07-2010, 08:43 PM	#24
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	R5: #2, the chalk will be very tough. #3 is the only one that can beat her. #5 is the only other one with a shot. I'm throwing out Assman again. I only play 2 numbers so it's hard to decide between playing a 2 / 3 , 5 exacta and/or a 2 / 3 exacta box. the 2 / 3 is paying $17, 2 / 5 is paying $37 and the 3 / 2 is paying $26. Hard to bet 3 or even 2 numbers with these low payoffs.

07-07-2010, 08:49 PM	#25
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	Good hit, Jay. I could never use the 8 off the FE races.

07-07-2010, 08:50 PM	#26
Jay Kassa AlwNW2X Join Date: Dec 2009 Posts: 24	i'll take $18 for a 7-5 shot winner puts a damper on the pick3 but these 2 singles are 6:1 and 12:1 on the ML for races 6,7

07-07-2010, 08:52 PM	#27
Jay Kassa AlwNW2X Join Date: Dec 2009 Posts: 24	we should have gone in on a tri $144 for a near "lock" on top with our numbers

07-07-2010, 09:04 PM	#29
Jay Kassa AlwNW2X Join Date: Dec 2009 Posts: 24	yea she had some hidden form, and Tiller isn't a fool. She had that one bad race in 2010 where she was 2-1 against Island Girl and wide as hell... I like the 1 here (a lot more at her mL of 6-1 than 5-2!)... she looks like LONE speed, but the could annoy here, Sutherland figures to be closer to the pace. Again the is a possible show play if she stays ice cold in that pool as possible controlling speed.