Rebel Stakes, Oaklawn Race 10 - Pace and Cap

Ted Craven · 03-17-2012, 12:23 PM

I believe this comes down to a determination whether the race will run Early or Other Than Early.

If Early, the 3 and 8 are eminently qualified and I'm hard pressed to separate them, based on their last race tandem (raced heads apart the whole way - won by the #8 by 1/2 length). But, if you add the possible additional Early pressure from #4 (who can also run non-Early), then my judgement is that's just too much Early.

So my picks are the best Other Than Earlies: #4 and #9, which is how I bet in the RDSS/Sartin/Bradshaw Contest (plus #3 for an Exacta, as longest odds of the 2 clear Earlies, and Tandem reversal, FWIW)

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Good luck to everyone!

Ted

03-17-2012, 12:23 PM	#12
Ted Craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada Posts: 9,258	I believe this comes down to a determination whether the race will run Early or Other Than Early. If Early, the 3 and 8 are eminently qualified and I'm hard pressed to separate them, based on their last race tandem (raced heads apart the whole way - won by the #8 by 1/2 length). But, if you add the possible additional Early pressure from #4 (who can also run non-Early), then my judgement is that's just too much Early. So my picks are the best Other Than Earlies: #4 and #9, which is how I bet in the RDSS/Sartin/Bradshaw Contest (plus #3 for an Exacta, as longest odds of the 2 clear Earlies, and Tandem reversal, FWIW) Good luck to everyone! Ted __________________ RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™

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