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03-09-2013, 10:09 AM | #1 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 611
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Saturday 3/9 - GG 7th
Another one to Match-Up....
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03-09-2013, 11:31 AM | #2 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Tempe, Arizona
Posts: 600
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Gg #7
I an going to the off-track today so I'll post this without scratches.
It looks like the 1, 3, and 6 all need the lead to win. The 1 has done her best on the turf. The 6 has been off a year. I am going to put the pace on the 3's race 7 back at 22.2 where she got a 2.5L lead. I think the race will go OTE. Here are the rest: The 2 is slow. The 4's best races are near the lead and she may get swallowed up but is a contender for now. The 5 runs best from the 3rd position. Based on her closing fraction, I think she can run from further back. Out of fast tandem fighting. Hasn't run in a year. Never run a bad race. The 7 is a router off a slow tandem. OUT. The 8 needs a 22.3 as an E/P. OUT. My choice is the 5.
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Tim Don't look back. You're not going that way. |
03-09-2013, 03:24 PM | #3 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 611
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Hey Tim, great to see you posting here. I agree with the 3 earlies and I'm looking for an OTE from 4th against 22 / 22.1 and 45.1 or so...
The 2 is slow...OUT The 4 has won from 1st 3rd and 5th against 22.2 45.4, a little too slow to me...OUT The 5 has won from 3rd against this pace...IN The 7 closed from way back to be a close 3rd against a similar pace...IN The 8 has won from 4th against a similar pace and finished second by 1.25 lengths against a little faster pace too...IN I will take the 8 on top and the 7 for second place. |
03-09-2013, 04:05 PM | #4 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2011
Posts: 695
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speed of the speed
Hey Capcondo....
Great to see you back here...great analysis as always... I will take a shot at eyeballing this race... At first glance, it looks like a race loaded with early speed... But I am going to go with the best early...#1.....those downhill fractions are insane...also those mile turf times at Santa Anita... #8 looks to have ran best sustained off those 5.5 furlongs races.. So these are my two... Thanks Pete... Let's keep the train going until Richie gets back here... Good skills |
03-09-2013, 05:22 PM | #5 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Pass
Hi Matchers
Sorry I am out of this one. Too many issues Here is my Phase 1 workup |
03-09-2013, 08:37 PM | #6 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 611
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Quote:
My E/OTE read in both races was off today but you had 'em. Great calls and the win payoff here was good. Pete |
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03-09-2013, 09:23 PM | #7 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Lone Speed
Nice work to all. Way to go Lone Speed
Thank you for the races, look forward to more Bill |
03-12-2013, 03:12 AM | #8 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Tempe, Arizona
Posts: 600
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Nice one Lone Speed. Your intuition trumped our analysis. There's a lesson to be learned in that.
__________________
Tim Don't look back. You're not going that way. |
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