Houston Race # 5 3/4/14

[Segwin]

The cast of characters:

[Segwin]

More:

[Segwin]

BL, Segs, TPR, and NP and Final

[Segwin]

The conditions at the track today were very wet, sloppy & cold.

The 11 wasn't on my radar as I was going through this race. However watching the Tote XRay it was in the Green for most of the betting time (it was obviously liked). I wish I took a pic of the tote but....

Anyone see anything enticing about this horse?

I liked the 7 actually. It also won in the slop last time out.

[sureshotlink]

Good Day,

I actually worked this race today. The 11 was my play but there was no value for me to invest. Take a look at the 11 horse PP and start from the bottom up. You will notice a pattern start to emerge. Every 3rd start this horse has shown an improved performance. Today's race was 3rd start in the current form cycle.


Your thoughts?

All the Best,

sureshotlink

[Bill V.]

This was done not knowing scratches or track condition
It does not matter this race would have been a pass

First the conditions This is a 7500 claimer
anyhorse can get in at the risk of a claim provided it has never won 3 races
The fulcrum
It has never run another plus race against a 115.4 unlikethe 8 who has run +
races against a 116.2
The Fulcrum is #8 116.2
The 7 is not the fulcrum horse. it qualifies but its last line is atypical

Lines and contenders

H1 20/1 ML Ugly. Its last 2 races at this level have been poor This to me is not a win contender
H2 12/1 EP in routes Its win in line 6 (88 days ago) was at a route
It then won a turf sprint since I don't want to use a maiden win in a non winner of 3life race I have no line
H3 8/1 This is a sprinter and a question mark no line
If I come across 1 more questionable horse the race is a pass
H4 8/1 Sus Line 2 I will forgive line 1 as its first try against N3-L SR 63
H5 20/1 If I excuse line 1 for first try against N3l I also no have a
2-28 horse with no recent plus or plus within a zero lines
no line
H6 15/1 Turf horse Big questions about its dirt form THIS RACE IS NOW
A PASS
H7 7/1 Sus Line 2 I will use line 2 rather than line 1 because line 1 is a off track SR 59
H8 3.5/1 E-EP Line 1 SR 68
H9 4.5/1 Sus No line No recent + or (+) routes
H10 6/1 Press Line 1 only because it finished in the money and earns a +
H11 6/1 Press No line. The reason is after its N2-L win its speed rating a
continuously dropped from 68 to 66 to 59 then 49 Line 1 is back up to a 64
but its not a plus or plus within a zero, now after a 4 week rest I don't know where to put this horse in a form cycle?


here is my BLBL

Bill

[Segwin]

As always thanks Bill.

BTW I enjoyed that you named the pic whiskeyagogo in the other thread.

[Bill V.]

Originally Posted by Segwin

As always thanks Bill.

BTW I enjoyed that you named the pic whiskeyagogo in the other thread.

That is so cool that you saw that

I try to have fun even if I think I'm the only person being entertained