Del Mar Free Online Contest - Page 6 - Pace and Cap

pktruckdriver · 07-31-2009, 05:40 PM

Thanks Bill

Today a little nervous as I had not enough to go on, but this contest requires you to wager, so today I will go with the 1st 2 again

#11 and #6

50.00 to win

#3 # 4 #5 and #7 worry me, the 5 is really the most unknown here and shown the ability to enjoy different surroundings, and the 3 and 4 are just palin ol scary...

patrick

pktruckdriver · 07-31-2009, 06:03 PM

I feel stronger about this now

6 , 11 over the 3, 4, 5, 7

Both are M/L longshots, 20-1 and 12-1 and may move up too

I also will cover myself with an 8/ 3, 6, 7, 11 , but a contest is just that, but still...

My cojones are not big enough to go 100 to win on the 6 , just yet , or the 7 either

I feel the 7, even thou done at GG has the fastest times at the distance on turf

7 to win 100, shoulda been the bet, see what 2nd guessing does to you, my originals will all stand as played these are more in depth capping, rtaking the gut feeling , 1st glance thingy out of the equation and looking at the cold facts, ( the Numbers) ,and then picking, let's see how I do today....

7 and 8 , then 5 and 3 all have numbers to beat my picks, and if SR was the number to use then # 7 wins handily, if class , then #8 as he has run in a few big ones, but if neither of them matter, then maybe the 6 and 11, both needing the race of their lfe to pull this off, could get it if things fall into place, slow pace, and triaffic problems for the 8 and we could do it, okay...

patrick

pktruckdriver · 07-31-2009, 06:41 PM

Okay here is the screens with and withput the #8 in them

pktruckdriver · 07-31-2009, 09:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pktruckdriver

I feel stronger about this now

6 , 11 over the 3, 4, 5, 7

Both are M/L longshots, 20-1 and 12-1 and may move up too

I also will cover myself with an 8/ 3, 6, 7, 11 , but a contest is just that, but still...

My cojones are not big enough to go 100 to win on the 6 , just yet , or the 7 either

I feel the 7, even thou done at GG has the fastest times at the distance on turf

7 to win 100, shoulda been the bet, see what 2nd guessing does to you, my originals will all stand as played these are more in depth capping, rtaking the gut feeling , 1st glance thingy out of the equation and looking at the cold facts, ( the Numbers) ,and then picking, let's see how I do today....

7 and 8 , then 5 and 3 all have numbers to beat my picks, and if SR was the number to use then # 7 wins handily, if class , then #8 as he has run in a few big ones, but if neither of them matter, then maybe the 6 and 11, both needing the race of their lfe to pull this off, could get it if things fall into place, slow pace, and triaffic problems for the 8 and we could do it, okay...

patrick

There is a super in there, but I lost on my gut feelings today, shoulda put 100 on Col John , but there was no value, what would y'all have done.

patrick

pktruckdriver · 08-01-2009, 08:41 AM

Could the 3 be the single play here, as she should be the winner, but the odds are too low, may be post time fav too , I have a few lines since this a G2 race, so a little lee way here.

Need help here, as the 5 and 6 seem the 8 and 9 too as some value plays , but the 3 should win as the Colonel did yesterday, but he was the fav , no value, and again today I see the same thing, what to do, any ideas...

pktruckdriver · 08-01-2009, 02:42 PM

okay I know I'm here everyday, but this contest is 1 race a day, normally the feature race of the day, I try my best and post my thoughts here for all to see and comment on, and you all helped me , a little here and there, it helped, I do listen, the link to the contest is here... just click on contest for the race, or the next days race, and I think you can even look me up and see how I'm doing

http://www.dmtc.com/

Patrick

pktruckdriver · 08-01-2009, 06:35 PM

Okay lets just go for broke with this tourney, because I feel the only way to win will be to bet a value play each day for 100.00, no breakdowns, not 50.00 win on 2 horses, except maybe when both are over 20-1, maybe...any thoughts here, am I doing the right thing here, I THINK SO, hope so , and will start today....

pktruckdriver · 08-01-2009, 07:32 PM

100.00 to win on the 6 , not the 5 or the 8

Probable winners 3 and 9, but value bets is above

Patrick

Bill V. · 08-01-2009, 07:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pktruckdriver

Okay lets just go for broke with this tourney, because I feel the only way to win will be to bet a value play each day for 100.00, no breakdowns, not 50.00 win on 2 horses, except maybe when both are over 20-1, maybe...any thoughts here, am I doing the right thing here, I THINK SO, hope so , and will start today....

Hi Pat ..
This is just my way to think . You are doing so well
Your betting two horses and your confident.
The skill your showing here, from what I can follow has improved your
overall outlook on many things. I for one hope you stick to what you have been doing. You need to make your own mind up and do what will make you happy.
A confident happy winner In my eyes can with stand the cyclic nature of horse racing
The $100 win betters broke out early,
Will they be able to have enough entropy to go the distance?
When you bet two horses you have two win chances..
contest aside
Take a look at that guy in the drivers seat looking back at you in the rear view mirror. If I was you I'd say stay on the roads you know best

pktruckdriver · 08-01-2009, 07:56 PM

Okay Bill, maybe you're right, as I too was thinking to stay the course, bet 2 horses , go for the next best in value, almost like I have been doing, then maybe when and only when I have a strong play , then single, like yesterday with Col. John, he was the single play, but I went for value...

Today the 3, 9 and 4 are the top 3 to choose from, they are

4 5/2

3 7/2

9 9/2

And the play shoulda been 3 and 9 ,50 to win

Tomorrow, back to basic's, and will go the route the Turtle took, slow an easy, one step at a time, thanks

THANKS

Patrick

07-31-2009, 06:41 PM	#53
pktruckdriver Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2009 Location: Saratoga Springs Posts: 1,547	Okay here is the screens with and withput the #8 in them Attached Images

08-01-2009, 08:41 AM	#55
pktruckdriver Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2009 Location: Saratoga Springs Posts: 1,547	Could the 3 be the single play here, as she should be the winner, but the odds are too low, may be post time fav too , I have a few lines since this a G2 race, so a little lee way here. Need help here, as the 5 and 6 seem the 8 and 9 too as some value plays , but the 3 should win as the Colonel did yesterday, but he was the fav , no value, and again today I see the same thing, what to do, any ideas... Attached Images

08-01-2009, 02:42 PM	#56
pktruckdriver Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2009 Location: Saratoga Springs Posts: 1,547	okay I know I'm here everyday, but this contest is 1 race a day, normally the feature race of the day, I try my best and post my thoughts here for all to see and comment on, and you all helped me , a little here and there, it helped, I do listen, the link to the contest is here... just click on contest for the race, or the next days race, and I think you can even look me up and see how I'm doing http://www.dmtc.com/ Patrick Last edited by pktruckdriver; 08-01-2009 at 02:43 PM. Reason: spelling

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07-31-2009, 05:40 PM	#51
pktruckdriver Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2009 Location: Saratoga Springs Posts: 1,547	Thanks Bill Today a little nervous as I had not enough to go on, but this contest requires you to wager, so today I will go with the 1st 2 again #11 and #6 50.00 to win #3 # 4 #5 and #7 worry me, the 5 is really the most unknown here and shown the ability to enjoy different surroundings, and the 3 and 4 are just palin ol scary... patrick

07-31-2009, 06:03 PM	#52
pktruckdriver Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2009 Location: Saratoga Springs Posts: 1,547	I feel stronger about this now 6 , 11 over the 3, 4, 5, 7 Both are M/L longshots, 20-1 and 12-1 and may move up too I also will cover myself with an 8/ 3, 6, 7, 11 , but a contest is just that, but still... My cojones are not big enough to go 100 to win on the 6 , just yet , or the 7 either I feel the 7, even thou done at GG has the fastest times at the distance on turf 7 to win 100, shoulda been the bet, see what 2nd guessing does to you, my originals will all stand as played these are more in depth capping, rtaking the gut feeling , 1st glance thingy out of the equation and looking at the cold facts, ( the Numbers) ,and then picking, let's see how I do today.... 7 and 8 , then 5 and 3 all have numbers to beat my picks, and if SR was the number to use then # 7 wins handily, if class , then #8 as he has run in a few big ones, but if neither of them matter, then maybe the 6 and 11, both needing the race of their lfe to pull this off, could get it if things fall into place, slow pace, and triaffic problems for the 8 and we could do it, okay... patrick

08-01-2009, 06:35 PM	#57
pktruckdriver Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2009 Location: Saratoga Springs Posts: 1,547	Okay lets just go for broke with this tourney, because I feel the only way to win will be to bet a value play each day for 100.00, no breakdowns, not 50.00 win on 2 horses, except maybe when both are over 20-1, maybe...any thoughts here, am I doing the right thing here, I THINK SO, hope so , and will start today....

08-01-2009, 07:32 PM	#58
pktruckdriver Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2009 Location: Saratoga Springs Posts: 1,547	100.00 to win on the 6 , not the 5 or the 8 Probable winners 3 and 9, but value bets is above Patrick

08-01-2009, 07:56 PM	#60
pktruckdriver Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2009 Location: Saratoga Springs Posts: 1,547	Okay Bill, maybe you're right, as I too was thinking to stay the course, bet 2 horses , go for the next best in value, almost like I have been doing, then maybe when and only when I have a strong play , then single, like yesterday with Col. John, he was the single play, but I went for value... Today the 3, 9 and 4 are the top 3 to choose from, they are 4 5/2 3 7/2 9 9/2 And the play shoulda been 3 and 9 ,50 to win Tomorrow, back to basic's, and will go the route the Turtle took, slow an easy, one step at a time, thanks THANKS Patrick