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09-30-2013, 11:05 AM | #1 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2011
Location: New-York, NY
Posts: 129
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Can I use the second line?
Hi,
This is today's first race at Suffolk Downs. I would like to know what people think about this horse #7. Would it be ok to excuse the last line , in favor of the second line? I am only worried about the low RC of the second line. All comments welcome Thanks! |
09-30-2013, 11:56 AM | #2 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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last line
I would give the horse a second chance It was "used up" in its first
race against winners So the first try against winners of a higher class, But where else does a maiden winner go than up in class? That 85 FFR rating in a race were it was beaten by 40 lengths says the POR was fast or the winner just blew away the field The problems is if they ran this horse in a stakes race as a maiden Why did they give up and put it in a $5000 claimer non 2 life after its maiden win. This seems like they want to dump it fast since they came back in 7 days I quess the rule of thumb is a $5000 MC winner is about half that value so I guess CL$5000 is ok to start Bill Last edited by Bill V.; 09-30-2013 at 12:00 PM. |
09-30-2013, 12:34 PM | #3 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2011
Location: New-York, NY
Posts: 129
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Hi Bill V,
Your comment is very well appreciated. Thanks. Just for fun, I will place a small SHOW bet on the #7 Have a nice day |
09-30-2013, 01:55 PM | #4 |
AlwNW3X
Join Date: Oct 2012
Posts: 49
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This horse looks like a pure Early and needs the lead or else gives up. She appears to be not able to handle the pace at 23.4 and 47.9, so throws in the towel.
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09-30-2013, 02:05 PM | #5 | |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Slow
Good example race for the group guys
Quote:
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09-30-2013, 02:11 PM | #6 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2011
Location: New-York, NY
Posts: 129
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Thanks for your comment Joefour. It gave me some good action for my money.
It actually took off well, and had the lead for a short while ...but faded badly in the end. I guess it could not handle the pressure. Well, I enjoyed watching the race regardless. |
09-30-2013, 02:53 PM | #7 |
AlwNW3X
Join Date: Oct 2012
Posts: 49
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Can I use the 2nd line?
Welcome to the Matchup, Bro.
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09-30-2013, 06:26 PM | #8 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: pittsburgh, now! Lancaster, CA.
Posts: 2,531
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i passed. the 7 does look good in the MC 5000 race. the next race(9-23) i watched in a replay and it didnt run at all so i passed. 7 ran like it did in last race
__________________
i love every single minute of life, and, if one is lucky,then you must give it to others. |
09-30-2013, 07:44 PM | #9 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jul 2013
Location: Cleveland, Ohio
Posts: 624
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My thoughts as well. I'm surprised RSDD picked P for running style.
Which brings me to a question - if we change it to an E does it make any difference in the software calculations or is it just a visual cue. Ted/Bill?
__________________
Terry Last edited by Segwin; 09-30-2013 at 07:54 PM. |
09-30-2013, 08:20 PM | #10 |
AlwNW3X
Join Date: Oct 2012
Posts: 49
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Running Styles
Terry,
I'm not the one to answer that question, but my opinion is that the software tries to do a good job of defining running style and Quirin speed points. Anything better would probably be getting into some kind of artificial intelligence. Oftentimes I agree with the definitions, and sometimes I don't, so I change it. |
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