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Races of Interest *Detailed* Discussion of Races – Screen shots, decisions, post-mortems

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Old 03-23-2023, 05:23 PM   #1
Lt1
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Cap The Day at MVR with big Ex Hit R8 3-23

Close out an outstanding day with this hit. My picks


Thu, Mar 23 at 11:57 AM

TRK SLY
R1 25634
R2 23165
R3 32716 MDNS
R4 1632 LS7
R5 561A7
R6 4673
R7 11-2-10-12 LS13 3 YR OLDS
R8 9234 LS1
The winning ticket
Mar 23 3:50:15 PM Complete Mahoning Valley 8 Exacta Box $2.00 2-4,9 $24.00 $116.60 $92.60
The winning combo
2[$17.80],4[6.80]
Screen shots
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Name:  Screenshot (94).jpg
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The winner tiers #3 BL/BL,&2ND RX. The place horse tiers 5thBL/BL,& 3rd RX. This time the analysis shows
#9 str loss defect
#2 str loss, too high % med
#4 Recency defect,str loss defect,large bal,too high %med
#3 str loss, way too high %med
#7 Str loss.too high %med,large bal.
Another tough call but I toss the 7 re last on RX,high bal, and had my lowest line score. Once again a lot of work but worth it.
Tim
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Old 03-24-2023, 09:56 AM   #2
57viking
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Nice hits Tim. Given the strong corollary support for the LS1, why wasn’t it used in the exacta ?
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Old 03-24-2023, 11:08 AM   #3
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Thanks Jim. I didn't use it despite the good support because it just broke its' mdn and ranked 6th on turn time[mdn winners facing winners not ranked in top 2 tt rarely win plus poor trn 0-4 with mdn winners . and its' sr was low not hitting par for dist] and too high %med and a major step up in cls. So I made the call not to use it something that we all must do from time to time. Thankfully I'm right more times then not.
Tim
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Old 03-24-2023, 12:48 PM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lt1 View Post
Thanks Jim. I didn't use it despite the good support because it just broke its' mdn and ranked 6th on turn time[mdn winners facing winners not ranked in top 2 tt rarely win plus poor trn 0-4 with mdn winners . and its' sr was low not hitting par for dist] and too high %med and a major step up in cls. So I made the call not to use it something that we all must do from time to time. Thankfully I'm right more times then not.
Tim
Nce Hit
Lt1
Just ask noticed the swwing in the last recent line line used
dlivery
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Old 03-24-2023, 03:01 PM   #5
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Thanks dlivery.
Tim
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