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| Races of Interest *Detailed* Discussion of Races – Screen shots, decisions, post-mortems |
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#1 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Mar 2015
Location: Downers Grove, Il
Posts: 529
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Sept 11 2025 R6 better Late than never CT
sept 11 r6 2025 4.5 f on the dirt.
ct (lets see if pictures show up) First screen should be leverage screen the #10 ranks one across all variables. You can you use the 5 rx3 for contenders. Considering the short distance I also use the POF screen f1. for elimination. Okay folks lets see if pic shows up... Now off to the segment screen...if memory serves me right 10 across the board. With 0...This is a Dick special zeros across segment screen take notice. At this point I look at the PP screens start applying scotts / quirin methods not the whole process...see Tim (wizard if interested) Now going to take a look at Tandem As you can see i hope.. The 10 has pretty much beat all the horses he ran against. The way i bet the tri..I take my first and second selections for win/place/show y contenders go in place/show positons. Any others in 3rd. This is how i wagered 10 / 1, 2, 7 - 10 / 1, 2, 7 - 10 Total cost 10 paid 83.75 73.75 As noted i try not to bet more than $10 a race? Why you may ask well when i start betting more than 10 i am guessing? whishing? praying it hits. Each to his own. Also please note any of this will not apply to other races like 6 7 f ect. My models based on last few days. That should be enough... Anyways provided those pics show up any questions...critiques etc. let hear it. Don |
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#2 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 11,460
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Well done Don. Nice explanation of your approach. As for your bet size each person should remain within their comfort zone when betting. The only thing I would add is the #4 qualified as an RMATH LSP[ranking #4 VDC &CSR and based on the segment screen it looks like a borderline Werpy LSP which is a horse you might want to include underneath] Keep up the good work.
Tim
__________________
Trust but verify |
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#3 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Mar 2015
Location: Downers Grove, Il
Posts: 529
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Thanks Tim
Appreciate your feedback. Don |
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#4 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: Maple Ridge, B.C. Canada
Posts: 3,628
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Nice job Don.
Keep up the good work and congrats on your score Darryl |
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#5 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Mar 2015
Location: Downers Grove, Il
Posts: 529
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Thanks
Darryl |
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#6 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Colorado
Posts: 322
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Don,
Nice analysis. Tim was right the 4 is a Werpy Longshot and did run 4th. The segments screen that shows a horse like the 4 is worth a second look. Good work, Dick
__________________
Haakon 47 'Something magical happens when you bring together a group of people from different disciplines with a common purpose.' Mark Stefik Palo Alto Research Centre Fellow |
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#7 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 4,643
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Thanks for posting that Don and great job
Jeff |
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#8 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Mar 2015
Location: Downers Grove, Il
Posts: 529
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Dick and Jeff
Thanks. |
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