BPP & PL Same top3 - Pace and Cap

Lt1 · 11-01-2026, 12:18 AM

Decided to do 1 more 100 race survey of races where BPP & PL had the same top 3 regardless of order. The tracks involved were PAEX.TDN.CT, MVR, Monmouth, & Churchill Downs. The class of race ranged from Mdns to G1. Here
are the results
89 times 1 of the 3 won
8 times 1 finished 2nd
3times 1 finished 3rd
Pretty impressive angle for multi race players to keep in mind.
Tim

shoeless · 11-01-2026, 08:37 AM

Thanks, Tim, for sharing.

Jeff

Lt1 · 11-01-2026, 10:44 AM

You are welcome Jeff.
Tim

MJS6916 · 11-01-2026, 04:16 PM

Tim,

Earlier this year I saw that this group won about 68%
of the time.

Any idea how it jumped another 20 percentage points?

Mike

Lt1 · 11-01-2026, 05:10 PM

Hi Mike. I don't recall it ever bein that low. It has always been around 90% win. I will have to check any surveys I posted.
Tim

Lt1 · 11-01-2026, 05:30 PM

Mike I guess I didn't post stats before but I can tell you that the results of the last 3 surveys I did for myself the w/p results done in Aug & Sept were about the same as this one and included trks like Bel, Sar, Del & Mth. You can be confident that it will remain the same since PL &BPP have the winner in their top 5 over 90% of the time
Tim

MJS6916 · 11-01-2026, 05:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lt1

Mike I guess I didn't post stats before but I can tell you that the results of the last 3 surveys I did for myself the w/p results done in Aug & Sept were about the same as this one and included trks like Bel, Sar, Del & Mth. You can be confident that it will remain the same since PL &BPP have the winner in their top 5 over 90% of the time
Tim

Thank you Tim.

Mike

Lt1 · 11-01-2026, 06:41 PM

You are welcome Mike.
Tim

11-01-2026, 12:18 AM	#1
Lt1 Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2012 Location: Valley Stream NY Posts: 11,515	BPP & PL Same top3 Decided to do 1 more 100 race survey of races where BPP & PL had the same top 3 regardless of order. The tracks involved were PAEX.TDN.CT, MVR, Monmouth, & Churchill Downs. The class of race ranged from Mdns to G1. Here are the results 89 times 1 of the 3 won 8 times 1 finished 2nd 3times 1 finished 3rd Pretty impressive angle for multi race players to keep in mind. Tim __________________ Trust but verify

11-01-2026, 10:44 AM	#3
Lt1 Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2012 Location: Valley Stream NY Posts: 11,515	You are welcome Jeff. Tim __________________ Trust but verify

11-01-2026, 04:16 PM	#4
MJS6916 Grade 1 Join Date: Nov 2015 Posts: 447	Tim, Earlier this year I saw that this group won about 68% of the time. Any idea how it jumped another 20 percentage points? Mike __________________ just keeping my trajectory in the positive http://sartinmethodology.com/pubs/RD...d_Glossary.pdf

11-01-2026, 05:10 PM	#5
Lt1 Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2012 Location: Valley Stream NY Posts: 11,515	Hi Mike. I don't recall it ever bein that low. It has always been around 90% win. I will have to check any surveys I posted. Tim __________________ Trust but verify

11-01-2026, 05:30 PM	#6
Lt1 Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2012 Location: Valley Stream NY Posts: 11,515	Mike I guess I didn't post stats before but I can tell you that the results of the last 3 surveys I did for myself the w/p results done in Aug & Sept were about the same as this one and included trks like Bel, Sar, Del & Mth. You can be confident that it will remain the same since PL &BPP have the winner in their top 5 over 90% of the time Tim __________________ Trust but verify

11-01-2026, 08:37 AM	#2
shoeless Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 4,655	Thanks, Tim, for sharing. Jeff

11-01-2026, 06:41 PM	#8
Lt1 Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2012 Location: Valley Stream NY Posts: 11,515	You are welcome Mike. Tim __________________ Trust but verify

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