Belmont Park / Opening Day Odds Line Play

[RichieP]

If anyone cares to follow along I will post the card tomorrow after the scratches

I have been working on a fair odds line and will list 2 to 4 horses a race with their oddsline

ok
Rich

[socantra]

I, for one, would love to see it. The little I've seen of the oddsline stuff you've been playing with is very impressive.

Dick...

[Lemon]

Rich
I saw how well you did at Del Mar and Saratoga
I know you do well at Belmont

thanks for all you do here
Al

[RichieP]

Belmont  Early "Fair Odds" Line ( Late Scratches NOT Entered)  9/9/05

Race 1 -6d clm
6- 5/2
4- 5/2
7- 9/2
3- 9/2
8- 9/2 


Race 2 - 8.5 IT mdclm
8- 8/5
5- 7/2
4- 7/2
3- 9/2


Race 3 - 5.5d clm
4- 5/2
5- 5/2
7- 9/2
8- 9/2

Race 4  PASS	

Race 5 - 8.5d  mdclm
1- 2/1
5- 5/2
2- 3/1


Race 6 - 8.5 IT  allowance
3- 8/5
2- 5/2
5- 5/1


Race 7 - 8T allowance
7- 3/1
3- 3/1
9- 7/2
1(poe)- 4/1


Race 8 - 7d Stakes
1- 5/2
4- 3/1
2- 7/2
5- 4/1


Race 9 - 8d  msw
11- 2/1
1-  3/1
13- 7/2
5-  7/2
2-  9/2


I will update these races AFTER the late scratches are up   Around noon 
Rich

[Phase III Lives]

Hey Richie -

I think I'll be getting some free time again soon and want to follow what you're up to ... I am a little confused about what you mean by fair odds line. Are you showing us horses and what their fair odds should be? And if so, is this as specified by the BL/BL screen in VAL3?

thanks -

Jeff

[RichieP]

Originally Posted by Phase III Lives

Hey Richie -

I think I'll be getting some free time again soon and want to follow what you're up to ... I am a little confused about what you mean by fair odds line. Are you showing us horses and what their fair odds should be? And if so, is this as specified by the BL/BL screen in VAL3?

thanks -

Jeff

Hi Jeff
Ok here it is straight up.

I am using a new par time group. It is NOT the universal table that exists in Val or Spec. It is track specific.

This is NOT anything close to the odds line in Val. Matter of fact readouts might be very different.

This is NOT val but rather a "homebrew" of mine that I am working on for a while now.

The only other time I have used this here was my post on "8/25 Turf win bets" when I simply chose the top 2 sustained pace horses in each of the listed races ok?

ALL turf races and their accompanying odds line will be based on sustained pace. The odds line for turf races is sustained pace specific

The "fair odds" line can be used in TWO ways Jeff:
1) Using the ml ( which I will list after scratches) u can look at the ml and look for the biggest "fair odds" overlays against it and advance bet some races based on the ml

2) U can go race to race and print the sheet and take to track or online for checking overlays against real time odds with a couple minutes to post.

Binder allows me the freedom to express myself and my little projects here which I love. I do NOT make a habit of doing this on a regular basis.

This is definitely a "work in progress" but something that shows some promise.

I will post back around noon Jeff with the updated scratches ml and fair odds line

I love exploring the unknown . Fear of the unkmown can be good

Richie

[Phase III Lives]

Ok - I gotcha .... Can I ask what factors go into making the Fair odds? Is it just Speed?

[RichieP]

Originally Posted by Phase III Lives

Ok - I gotcha .... Can I ask what factors go into making the Fair odds? Is it just Speed?

This is something that stays with me. First let's see how it plays out some.

Might be a total bust. Nothing ventured nothing gained
Rich

[Phase III Lives]

Here Kianti Here Kianti .... here's a nice big bone, but first you gotta tell me something ...

[RichieP]

Originally Posted by Phase III Lives

Here Kianti Here Kianti .... here's a nice big bone, but first you gotta tell me something ...

LMAO!

"Woof Woof ok it is based on segmented speed Woof Woof"



Thats the funniest thing I have ever seen man!

Thank you for that
Rich