Saturday -- February 7, 2009

[alydar_ David]

Aqueduct Changes
Saturday February 7, 2009

The Main Track condition is now: Fast

The Turf Track condition is now: None

The weather at the Track is now: Fair, 31

1st: 5-8

[clore1030]

I can see the first as one where all of us could come up with different pairs of horses - it seems tightly matched.

I tossed out the 6, the favorite, going instead with the best odds of the top three, leaving me with the 7 and the 9.

[alydar_ David]

Bah.

Results at Aqueduct
Saturday February 7, 2009

Race: 1 Win Place Show
1st 2 Chernobyl Princess 16.40 6.90 3.60
2nd 6 I'llthinkofsumthin 3.80 2.60
3rd 4 Hope Street 4.00

[alydar_ David]

Full moon on the 9th. We can expect five days of things that don't make sense. Here's the first bomb:

TAM
Race: 2 Win Place Show
1st 3 Storming Carson 110.40 30.20 12.40
2nd 8 R True Lady 4.20 3.40
3rd 1 Flying Enough 4.00

[clore1030]

Originally Posted by alydar_David

Bah.

Results at Aqueduct
Saturday February 7, 2009

Race: 1 Win Place Show
1st 2 Chernobyl Princess 16.40 6.90 3.60
2nd 6 I'llthinkofsumthin 3.80 2.60
3rd 4 Hope Street 4.00

It's getting so that I may as well just blindly bet my highest-odds among the 5 horses once I've narrowed down the field. In tracking 34 sprints so far, the rankings in the different factors that comprise the line scores are fairly evenly split.

[clore1030]

AQU
Fourth race

I'll take the 6 horse and that one only. A tightly matched field with many in-form horses.

[clore1030]

OK Doc, this one is for you...

AQU
Fifth race

Doc Can Do

[clore1030]

Continuing my quest to burn up my bankroll on the inner dirt track, I'll take the 2 and the 5 in the seventh.

[Charlie D]

Hi Charles

Here are a couple of steps from Richie that may help put out the fire

1) Get a projected pace following Jim's outline in the 5 step approach.

2) Once you have that 1c-2c proj pace move to the 1 horse and start asking questions of the horse in front of you. Prioritize pace lines run against your proj pace or faster. Those are the lines you ask the most questions about.

All the best

[clore1030]

Originally Posted by Charlie D

Hi Charles

Here are a couple of steps from Richie that may help put out the fire




All the best

Thanks Charlie.
I was using that prior to the IDT meet.

The difficulty that I have with it on the IDT is that we get an inordinate amount of shippers during the winter, and trying to match fractional times from Philly, Monmouth, Meadowlands and Mountaineer is a daunting task. Not impossible I'm sure, but it (to me) was raising more questions than answers.

But of course, I remain open to any elaboration.

I'm presently looking at the first race, but still waiting for scratches before I make my finalization down to five contenders. But at the moment, I'm looking at Maven and Api Mohkat, both of whom may be able to take advantage of a pace duel if the three early types all stay in.

However, both seem to be ML favorites, but I'll wait before making any final decisions.