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06-22-2009, 06:08 PM | #1 |
Grade 1
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Staten Island, NY
Posts: 3,952
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Mountaineer Race 8 June 22
another race that i like..
the big favorite #3 is 7/5 and won 2 in a row... he can win race witha 46 + halfs , but loses races under 46.. look at #6, he can win on lead and from second position..vs sub 46 halfs claimed 3 back tried last 2 races on poly now drops and back on dirt. at 6-1 worth a shot gl mike
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Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack |
06-22-2009, 10:18 PM | #2 |
AlwNW1X
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Goshen, New York
Posts: 10
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Outstanding!! Good Skill.
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06-22-2009, 10:59 PM | #3 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Tempe, Arizona
Posts: 600
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Well Done
After giving me the winner, I talked myself into the 4.
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06-23-2009, 12:36 AM | #4 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 611
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Nice call, Mike! Ran just like you thought it would.
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06-23-2009, 07:00 AM | #5 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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Nice call Mike!!!!!
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"Grampy I'm talking to you!" |
06-23-2009, 05:39 PM | #6 |
Grade 1
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Staten Island, NY
Posts: 3,952
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thxs guys....
i do get lucky one in a while
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Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack |
06-24-2009, 01:20 AM | #7 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Tempe, Arizona
Posts: 600
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Such Modesty!
Although the winner only paid $6.80 (you must have had a ton of money on this horse bringing the price down!), the $2 pick three paid $127.60. Now, a fair pay on a parlay in the 6th, 7th, and 8th where the winners paid $6.40, $5.80, and $6.80 would have been:
($6.40 * 1.9 + 6.40) * 2.4 + ($6.40 * 1.9 + 6.40) = $63.10 (The winning price from the sixth times the win odds from the seventh + $6.40 which equals $18.56 times the win odds from the 8th (2.4) + $18.56 = $63.10. So, the pick 3 paid twice what a parlay paid. I suspect this had something to do with the M/L odds on the 6 in the 8th race. |
06-24-2009, 07:18 AM | #8 |
Grade 1
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Staten Island, NY
Posts: 3,952
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perfecta kinda high too thxs Cap mike
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