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Old 11-17-2011, 04:35 PM   #1
RichieP
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Saturday - 11/19 -Woodbine- TM 100 Race Class

Here is Saturday's 8th going 7f on the Polytrack. I'm looking forward to congratulating the winning matchers, best of luck/skill and WIN the race!
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Old 11-17-2011, 04:38 PM   #2
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Old 11-17-2011, 04:39 PM   #3
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,.,
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Old 11-18-2011, 05:47 AM   #4
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My original Pace lines were taken from RDSS and formulated with Synergism 2
My choice is clearly the (8) and here's a graphical representation of why
I like this horse.
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Old 11-18-2011, 08:50 AM   #5
raceman5
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Sat Woodbine

I like the 6-8 The one horse takes the lead. 6 horse just loves the 7 furlong ditance and at 8/1 ML could be a nice overlay.

Bob
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Old 11-18-2011, 10:59 AM   #6
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raceman5:
I like the 6-8 The one horse takes the lead. 6 horse just loves the 7 furlong ditance and at 8/1 ML could be a nice overlay.

Bob
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If I were to bet 2 horses to win, I would be in full agreement with you.
( 8, 6). If I had to split them and make a single choice, I would go with the (8).
The race projects a Slow 6 pace and favors an early type.
At 7 F I would go with the E/P, P type of horse.
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Old 11-19-2011, 02:05 AM   #7
Capcondo
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Wo #8

Oh RichieP, this is a tough one. Let me say up front, I won't be betting it.

The 1 is the speed and can handle a 22.7. But, that doesn't matter. He's not a fighter and it won't go that fast. I am envisioning a pace like the 3's two back; 23.3 45.9 1:09.9 1:16.4. I'm looking for a horse that can win against a slow pace. I have three contenders. They are the 3, 6, and 7. the 7 has been away 900+ days and this looks like a prep for a long route; OUT. I match the 3 against the 6:

3: 23.3 2.5L 45.9 hd 1:09.9 hd 1;16.4 1L
6: 23.5 2.6L 46.4 1.5L 1:10.2 0L 1:22.7 0L

The 3 will be ahead of the 6 and can fight a bit.

The 3 is my choice.

Tim
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Old 11-19-2011, 09:25 AM   #8
SilentRun
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W0 r8 11/19

Using RDSS my top 3 picks are the 8-6 and 1. I don't try to project the pace but by looking at the New Pace EE1 and EE2 the #1 is considered an Early Dominance horse and most likely will be the pace setter.
The number 3 horse never made it into the top RDSS 5. Also the last 3 races for the #3 showed declining Total Energy....not a win candidate IMO.
The 10 horse is competetive and could run iTM but is not my choice for win.

My picks are 6 and 8 for win.
If I were to play an exacta I would go with: 1-6-8/1-6-8-10

Good Luck to all participants

Ernie
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Old 11-19-2011, 12:02 PM   #9
PeteC
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#1 is the lone early and seems pretty fast to me compared to the others. I compared the 1 to #’s 6,8 and 9 which are my OTE contenders.

#9 has run the best against the fastest pace, but I don’t think today’s pace will be as fast. This one might not do as well against a slower early pace. Both lines on #8 are faster to me than the power lines of the 6. #8 is my best OTE contender. I feel it will be between the 1 and the 8 at the finish.
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Old 11-19-2011, 01:59 PM   #10
emilio840
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Hi all.

I like the #8 and #9 here. But I will go with #8

emilio
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