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| Breeders' Cup 2013 - SATURDAY Nov. 2 Bets, Analysis, Discussion, News |
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11-02-2013, 01:56 PM
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#1 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada
Posts: 9,258
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Today ...
I'm proceeding with a lot of caution today, using at most half my normal wager unit - enjoying watching races if there's too much unclarity in any of them (which there is in a lot of them!)
The best opinion I have in any race so far, besides Wise Dan in the Mile, is in the Downhill Turf Sprint: #3 Chips All In and #12 Mizdirection Re 'early bias' on dirt - I have to believe that the matchup of Earlies/Fighters and Pressers/Late horses in any race has at least as much impact on the outcome as any sudden weather or track maintenance issues. Ted
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RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™ |
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11-02-2013, 02:03 PM
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#2 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada
Posts: 9,258
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One race does not confirm anything, but the first dirt race today (#2) using Bill L's described E/ep analysis (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthr...newpost&t=9480) rates the winner well (on top), as does the traditional Best of Last 3 comparable (only 4 real contenders, though ...)
I'll check things as they go, out of curiosity ... Ted
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RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™ |
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11-02-2013, 02:15 PM
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#3 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada
Posts: 9,258
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Race 3
#1 shows some possibility as an overlay. I required (as for all the downhill Turf course sprints) that the contenders have shown some affinity for this particular, peculiar, surface, and in a decent time. If so, I'm happy to seek a better line (i.e. in case their 6.5T line was against a slow pace).
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11-02-2013, 02:57 PM
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#4 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: May 2013
Location: NY
Posts: 485
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Hey Ted. Good luck out there!
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11-02-2013, 03:03 PM
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#5 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: May 2013
Location: NY
Posts: 485
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In the 4th. The 1 will be my key horse. Will mostly bet the 1,10 to win
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11-02-2013, 03:06 PM
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#6 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2011
Location: New-York, NY
Posts: 138
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Ted...Good job at Santa Anita today! Too bad I didn't see your posts earlier, otherwise I would have thrown a few bucks on your selections. Keep it up!
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Paul |
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11-02-2013, 03:10 PM
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#7 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2008
Location: England
Posts: 500
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Wow, what a finish to the 4th!
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11-02-2013, 03:24 PM
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#8 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2011
Location: New-York, NY
Posts: 138
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dirty moose .....Sorry for the disqualification in the 4th race. You did a good job getting the #10 to win. Keep it up!
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Paul |
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11-02-2013, 03:31 PM
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#9 | |
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The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Quote:
Sorry Matt Hope you feel alright . Nice work picking the 10 Use that to your advantage as you move on Bill |
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11-02-2013, 03:36 PM
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#10 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: May 2013
Location: NY
Posts: 485
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Thanks 's fellas! That one hurt tho.
If you ask me =)... Total crock o' sheet.... |
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