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Pace Makes the Race / TPR Total Pace Ratings Discussion, Examples, Lessons from Total Pace Ratings (TPR) aka 'Phase I' from the book 'Pace Makes the Race'

 
 
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Old 04-15-2016, 09:06 AM   #4
Bill V.
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My look at the 8th from Keeneland
OC 62.5 N3-X
Step 1 Top 5 TPR Line 1
2 11 5 12 6

Step 2 Fulcrum horse
No Fulcrum No one has run at 8 furlongs - Keeneland last line

Step 3 Running styles

Horse 1 Presser No line 30/1 ml
Horse 2 S/P Line 1 - never routed only 2 lines
Horse 3 Early Presser Line 1
Horse 4 Sus No line
Horse 5 Presser No line
Horse 6 EP Line 1 No line
Horse 7 Sus Line 1 No line
Horse 8 Press line 1
Horse 9 Early No line
Horse 10 Press Line 2 excuse line 1 off track
Horse 11 Early Line 1
Horse 12 E/P Line 1




Step 4 Who has the top EPR

The 11 has the best EPR 99
Early Routing
Can It go wire to
wire = No Its LPRs are too low 81, 79 72

Step 5 rate the lines make your decisions


The top TPR horses
They are 10 11 12
Top 3 VDC = 10 12 3
Top 3 RX = 3 10 8

My bets 10 and 12

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