Go Back   Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up > Races of Interest
Get RDSS
Google Site Search Get RDSS Sartin Library RDSS FAQs Conduct Register Site FAQ Members List Today's Posts

Races of Interest *Detailed* Discussion of Races – Screen shots, decisions, post-mortems

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 09-30-2026, 03:52 PM   #1
Lt1
Grade 1
 
Lt1's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 11,450
A Werpy/rmath LSP Keys Good Ex PARX R6 9-30

A Werpy/RMATH LSP keyed this ex hit Look at this horses' numbers and tell me how in the world it wasn't in the 5 not to mention it was also a RMATH key horse. My picks.
TRK FAST
R1 38726 LS5
R2 24361
R3 42365 LS7
R4 84125 LS7
R5 12649
R6 81071 LS9
R7 25631
R8 15278 LS4
R9 72645
GOOD LUCK
Tim
Winning Ticket
SEP 30 2:56:17 PM Complete Parx Racing 6 Exacta $2.00 9/1,2,7.8,10 $10.00 $126.20 $116.20
Winning Combo
9[$22.00] 8[3.00]
Screen Shots
Name:  Screenshot (1219).jpg
Views: 37
Size:  168.7 KB

Name:  Screenshot (1220).jpg
Views: 37
Size:  153.1 KB

Name:  Screenshot (1221).jpg
Views: 37
Size:  154.9 KB
LOOK AT the 9s NUMBERS. WOW
Tim
__________________
Trust but verify
Lt1 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-30-2026, 05:09 PM   #2
darmar
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: Maple Ridge, B.C. Canada
Posts: 3,624
Great work on this one Tim. In addition to these readout it's more amazing that the 9 started out with a 6/1morning line and ended up at 9/1 at post time to miss the best win price of the day by ten cents.
Darryl
darmar is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-30-2026, 06:30 PM   #3
jpatierno
AlwNW1X
 
Join Date: Jul 2020
Posts: 5
no way the 9 was a non contender. here's energy
Attached Images
  
jpatierno is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-30-2026, 07:24 PM   #4
Lt1
Grade 1
 
Lt1's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 11,450
Hi JP. My contender selection is always the top5 ranked PL & BPP horses. The winner is there over 90% of the time thus making the 9 a non contender for me. Also the tracks handicapper and trk announcer did not have it either and that was a surprise to me.
Tim
__________________
Trust but verify
Lt1 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-30-2026, 07:26 PM   #5
Lt1
Grade 1
 
Lt1's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 11,450
Thanks Darryl.
Tim
__________________
Trust but verify
Lt1 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-01-2026, 12:21 AM   #6
dadams6357
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Mar 2015
Location: Downers Grove, Il
Posts: 526
Tim
Beautiful example of the DWLS...
Nice hit Tim.
Thanks
Don
dadams6357 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-01-2026, 12:26 AM   #7
Lt1
Grade 1
 
Lt1's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 11,450
Thanks Don. I just hope folks are seeing these LSP when they are capping.
Tim
__________________
Trust but verify
Lt1 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-01-2026, 10:01 AM   #8
Jimmy R
Grade 1
 
Join Date: May 2015
Location: Close to PRX
Posts: 227
Tim, this is a really interesting one. Since the 9 wasn't in your normal top-5 PL/BPP contenders but was both a Werpy/RMATH LSP and an RMATH key horse, how do you handle that situation before the race?

Does a strong LSP/key horse automatically get reconsidered as a win/exacta key even though it failed your normal contender screen, or was there something else in the 9's RDSS readouts that made you comfortable keying it on top?

I'm trying to understand exactly when the LSP overrides the normal contender cut versus when it is just an exotic inclusion.

Thanks,
Jimmy
__________________
May the HORSE be with you!
- Harvey Pack
Jimmy R is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-01-2026, 11:35 AM   #9
Lt1
Grade 1
 
Lt1's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 11,450
Hi Jimmy. First the LSPS never over ride the true contenders, The only question for me is whether or not they are worth betting or not. For me a double LSP like this is an automatic play payoffs being the final factor of which combos and type of bet[dd or ex] to make. It really is just a call I am use to making based on bankroll & confidence level of having done it before,
Tom
__________________
Trust but verify
Lt1 is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
And Another Good DD Hit R3-4 PARX 6-7 Lt1 Races of Interest 0 06-07-2025 01:51 PM
Good DD Hit Parx R1-2 6-3 Lt1 Races of Interest 4 06-03-2025 10:52 PM
Good DD Hit Parx R4-5 5 21 Lt1 Races of Interest 4 05-26-2025 11:45 AM
A real good day at Parx 2-19 darmar Races of Interest 1 02-19-2024 08:04 PM
Good Ex Hit Parx R6 1-30 Lt1 Races of Interest 4 01-31-2024 05:01 PM


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2026, vBulletin Solutions Inc.

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 12:01 PM.