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| Races of Interest *Detailed* Discussion of Races – Screen shots, decisions, post-mortems |
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#1 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 11,452
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Nice Start To The Week DD Hit Parx R1-2 5-19
Caught the early dd 11/2 times to get the week off to a good start. My [icks
PARX 5-19 TRK FAST R1 7-6-3-1 LS4 R2 2-1-5-4 R3 5-2-1-3 R4 4-6-2-7 R5 5-3-4-1 MDNS R6 7-5-6-4 LS1 R7 3-1-2-5 LS6 R8 6-4-2-3 R9 5-6-4-2 R10 6-3-9=1 LS2 LS5 GOOD LUCK TIM Winning Tickets May 19 12:31:59 PM Complete Parx Racing 1 Double $2.00 1,3,6,7/1,2,5 $24.00 $70.20 $46.20 May 19 12:32:50 PM Complete Parx Racing 1 Double $1.00 1,3,6,7/1,4 $8.00 $35.10 $27.10 Winning Combo 6[$16.80] 1[$5.00] Screen Shots The R1 winner tiered #5 BL/BL & #4 RX, the R2 winner tiered #2 BL.BL & #5 RX. Once again by not blindly accepting tier rankings but doing some capping a winning play is accomplished. Tim
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Trust but verify |
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#2 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Mar 2015
Location: Downers Grove, Il
Posts: 529
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Tim
Nice doubles. Don |
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#3 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 11,452
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Thanks Don. The 1st race ex pd $94.00 and was in my top 3 picks[6=3]. Record keeping and proper capping are the keys to success not tiers & winning %s. As Doc always said Know Thy Track[s]
Tim
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Trust but verify |
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#4 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 4,640
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Tim
In that 1st race looking at your screen shot not quite sure why you have the 6 in there and not the 5. It looks like the 5 has better rankings and is in your blue arrow contenders Nice hit Jeff |
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#5 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 11,452
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Thanks Jeff. In regards to rac1 as I have stated I do not blindly accept tier rankings. In r1 the #5 had multi form defects and plus a failure[Quirin factor] in its' last race. The 6 did have a recency defect[ no race or work last 26 days[Scott Form Factors] however it has a good trainer so I give it the benefit of the doubt , the trainer is 21% going rt to sprint and it has a work out within a race[ lost ground between the 2c & str call but gain ground between the str call and finish to be within the required 5&3/4 lengths to be considered a good rt races. It also had ISR & IFP in the last 3 races. Easy call foe me as to who goes where.
Tim
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Trust but verify |
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#6 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Colorado
Posts: 318
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Nice Start to the week Tim!
Dick
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Haakon 47 'Something magical happens when you bring together a group of people from different disciplines with a common purpose.' Mark Stefik Palo Alto Research Centre Fellow |
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#7 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 11,452
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Thanks Dick. What I am really trying to do is to have folks engage the best computer of all their brain. They must remember that all RDSS does is to crunch numbers and rank horses on info supplied by the user. It does not know or care if a horse can't stand up on turf or is 0-11 & never in the money at todays' dist etc. It matters not whether one is using the 4 #s or the new Leverage approach to work the race you must not blindly accept any readouts. Some capping still must be done before making ones' final call.
Tim
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#8 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Colorado
Posts: 318
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Amen Brother!
Dick
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Haakon 47 'Something magical happens when you bring together a group of people from different disciplines with a common purpose.' Mark Stefik Palo Alto Research Centre Fellow |
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#9 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Mar 2015
Location: Downers Grove, Il
Posts: 529
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Tim
I hear yah...I get blinded by the numbers. I always think that I am going to get some type of magical mathematical formula to beat the ponies. I am a lil slow on the uptake...a slow learner you might say. But I am learning...I am incorporating what all the Masters have to say. You Dick Mitch etc. Hats off to all of you. Thanks Don |
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#10 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 11,452
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Thanks Don. Just keep on plugging away. It took me 8yrs before I turned the corner. You will get there and all the work you are doing now will payoff. I don't know anyone enjoying some level of success that didn't go to the University of Hard Knocks before turning the corner to success.
Tim
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Trust but verify Last edited by Lt1; 05-20-2025 at 11:40 AM. |
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