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Races of Interest *Detailed* Discussion of Races – Screen shots, decisions, post-mortems

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Old 07-08-2025, 04:09 PM   #1
Lt1
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One More Time Parx R7 EX 7-8

This is unreal. My picks
PARX 7-8
TRK FAST
R1 5-10-1-4
R2 8-5-2-4
R3 7-4-2-3
R4 1-2-3-7 LS4
R5 1-2-5-3
R6 1-7-4-6 LS5 MDNS 1FTS
R6 1-7-4-6 LS5
R7 2-5-3-6
R8 1-3-5-2 LS8
R9 6-5-1-7
R10 4-13-11-12 LS8
GOOD LUCK
Tim
Winning Ticket
Jul 8 3:24:13 PM Complete Parx Racing 7 Exacta $2.00 2,3,5/2,3,5,6 $18.00 $135.00 $117.00
Wining Combo
3{21.00] 6[$7.20]
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Name:  Screenshot (311).jpg
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The winner tiered #4BL/BL & #5 RX, the place horse tiered #3 on both screens. Yet another example of not blindly accepting tier rankings.
Tim
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Old 07-08-2025, 04:45 PM   #2
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It looks like you are having a really good day, Tim! Congratulations!

Dick
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Old 07-08-2025, 06:36 PM   #3
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Well that is definitely
Great Handicapping Tim.
Don
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Old 07-08-2025, 11:40 PM   #4
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Thanks Dick & Don. It was an unreal day. I did miss the last 2 dds of the day. Can't win them all. More importantly it underscores the need to not blindly accept readouts and the importance of keeping records
Tim
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Old 07-09-2025, 09:49 AM   #5
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Nice hit Tim.

What defects led you to demote the 6 and 7 below the 3 ?

In reviewing it , I also noticed based on your pacelines , that I selected lines for the 6 and 7 that had abnormal DTV's. I did not pay attention to details.
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Old 07-09-2025, 10:35 AM   #6
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Thanks Jim. Ok here was my logic on the demotions/
#6 Had 3 failures in the last 4 races[including the last one] and its %med was too high to win
#7 Failed in last, needed the lead by 2c[I projected it would not get it] its %med was way too high.
#3 had no defects although but its %med was also much too high & I was concerned about the #4 TT off mdn & I did note the str loss in the win but it was an off a layoff race and it won pretty easily. I concluded it was a young horse moving in the right direction compared to the 6 & 7 so I moved it up. Purely a gut call.
As far as the abnormal TV what I do is after picking my pls I go to the original screen and recheck the TVS to see if I used a bad one. Hope this helps.
Tim
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Old 07-10-2025, 11:17 AM   #7
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Thanks Tim. Very helpful.

I went back and looked at some cards and was surprised how many pace lines I chose had abnormal DTVs.

Jim
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Old 07-10-2025, 11:47 AM   #8
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You are welcome Jim. The fact that you went back and discovered those errors will benefit you in the future. It is the willingness to do that kind of work and other research that is the difference in being a winner and a non-winner. I know this to be true since it wasn't until I started keeping records and doing research that I went from dismal to where I am today. This is not brain surgery and college degrees are not needed. All members can achieve success if they will do the work.
Tim
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Old 07-10-2025, 12:20 PM   #9
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Thanks To ALL
In regards to how you use your
logic in choosing horses.

Don
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Old 07-10-2025, 12:45 PM   #10
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You are welcome Don.
Tim
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