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| Races of Interest *Detailed* Discussion of Races – Screen shots, decisions, post-mortems |
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#1 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 11,473
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One More Time Parx R7 EX 7-8
This is unreal. My picks
PARX 7-8 TRK FAST R1 5-10-1-4 R2 8-5-2-4 R3 7-4-2-3 R4 1-2-3-7 LS4 R5 1-2-5-3 R6 1-7-4-6 LS5 MDNS 1FTS R6 1-7-4-6 LS5 R7 2-5-3-6 R8 1-3-5-2 LS8 R9 6-5-1-7 R10 4-13-11-12 LS8 GOOD LUCK Tim Winning Ticket Jul 8 3:24:13 PM Complete Parx Racing 7 Exacta $2.00 2,3,5/2,3,5,6 $18.00 $135.00 $117.00 Wining Combo 3{21.00] 6[$7.20] Screen Shots The winner tiered #4BL/BL & #5 RX, the place horse tiered #3 on both screens. Yet another example of not blindly accepting tier rankings. Tim
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Trust but verify |
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#2 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Colorado
Posts: 324
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It looks like you are having a really good day, Tim! Congratulations!
Dick
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Haakon 47 'Something magical happens when you bring together a group of people from different disciplines with a common purpose.' Mark Stefik Palo Alto Research Centre Fellow |
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#3 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Mar 2015
Location: Downers Grove, Il
Posts: 530
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Well that is definitely
Great Handicapping Tim. Don |
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#4 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 11,473
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Thanks Dick & Don. It was an unreal day. I did miss the last 2 dds of the day. Can't win them all. More importantly it underscores the need to not blindly accept readouts and the importance of keeping records
Tim
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Trust but verify Last edited by Lt1; 07-08-2025 at 11:46 PM. |
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#5 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2020
Location: Vermont
Posts: 167
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Nice hit Tim.
What defects led you to demote the 6 and 7 below the 3 ? In reviewing it , I also noticed based on your pacelines , that I selected lines for the 6 and 7 that had abnormal DTV's. I did not pay attention to details. |
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#6 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 11,473
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Thanks Jim. Ok here was my logic on the demotions/
#6 Had 3 failures in the last 4 races[including the last one] and its %med was too high to win #7 Failed in last, needed the lead by 2c[I projected it would not get it] its %med was way too high. #3 had no defects although but its %med was also much too high & I was concerned about the #4 TT off mdn & I did note the str loss in the win but it was an off a layoff race and it won pretty easily. I concluded it was a young horse moving in the right direction compared to the 6 & 7 so I moved it up. Purely a gut call. As far as the abnormal TV what I do is after picking my pls I go to the original screen and recheck the TVS to see if I used a bad one. Hope this helps. Tim
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Trust but verify |
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#7 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2020
Location: Vermont
Posts: 167
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Thanks Tim. Very helpful.
I went back and looked at some cards and was surprised how many pace lines I chose had abnormal DTVs. Jim |
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#8 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 11,473
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You are welcome Jim. The fact that you went back and discovered those errors will benefit you in the future. It is the willingness to do that kind of work and other research that is the difference in being a winner and a non-winner. I know this to be true since it wasn't until I started keeping records and doing research that I went from dismal to where I am today. This is not brain surgery and college degrees are not needed. All members can achieve success if they will do the work.
Tim
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Trust but verify |
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#9 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Mar 2015
Location: Downers Grove, Il
Posts: 530
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Thanks To ALL
In regards to how you use your logic in choosing horses. Don |
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#10 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 11,473
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You are welcome Don.
Tim
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Trust but verify |
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