Picking Contenders & Pacelines

[For The Lead]

I thought I would take a day and go over each race at PRX for 12.10.12. It’s a rainy day with a sloppy track, which many would say are terrible conditions for handicapping. There are 12 scratches on the card, which is a little over one per race, on average. As I said, I am going to do every race on the card. Yes, even those dreaded (?) maiden races.

First let me go over my line selection process. I will NOT be using…
1 – best of last 3 distance/surface, or..
2 – best of last 3(regardless of distance or surface), or…
3 – best of last 3 perceptor
I am not saying #1 or #3 (above) are bad (#2 is), I am just saying they are not my preference.
I will be using the original methodology concept of using the last line “UNLESS” there is a valid reason to go back a line. The lines chosen will be “+” races or “(+)” races.
Continuing on with the original methodology, a line will NOT be given to every horse in the race. Instead, I will look at each horses PP’s and determine the contenders prior to giving them a line.
I will also run down the horses in each race so you can “get a feel” for how I arrived at the contenders and the lines used. If there are any “special” comments, they will be included.
I can tell you right now,any horse with a ML=>20/1 will NOT get a line or be considered a contender.
Also, no horse that has been OFF for more than 90 days will be considered a contender.
Also, no horse will receive a line that is more than 90 days old.

This is not an attempt on my part to "pick" the winner. I have marked certain attributes the winner displayed and leave it up to the reader to determine whether or not the winner would have been apparent to them playing 2 horses per race. Could you have made the winner one of your two bets?